@waterpolo
#2,880,242120xf5bdc865a9ba76c3d1a76051668b7b2e531ceaa7
~39d· 297 markets · 1452 tradesVol: $67,0392026-08-26 09:17:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (66/286)0/20
0.99x (win $847 / loss $852)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0340/15
Sortino -0.0600/10
$-0.0039 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 327 (286 markets)10/10
9/36 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 102% of peak ($240 / $236)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🌤️ WEATHER#295,952$-218Vol: $44,790
₿ CRYPTO#1,527,779$-140Vol: $20,969
📈 ECONOMICS#84,937$2Vol: $79
⚽ SPORTS#1,507,028$-25Vol: $54
💰 FINANCE#462,986$-1Vol: $2
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-491
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,039
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
297
total markets
Trades
592B / 860S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
Periods
#2Today
$-4
Vol: $307
Week
$-33
Vol: $2,615
Month
$-250
Vol: $23,843
All Time
$-491
Vol: $67,039
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
66W / 220L events
Realized PnL
$-484
Win Rate
23%
66W / 220L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $502 (1.0363512509289077% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?$321
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?$107
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$74
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?$51
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?$37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?$11
Top Losers
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$-107
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 21?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 26?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 27?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 21?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?$-10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.002
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
376
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
37%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.7
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 298s — normal for humanCV 3.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.3 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.81
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)43.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)29.7%
Sessions
#126/9/2026, 8:00:49 AM10 trades$1,1390 min
8/16/2026, 12:59:09 PM42 trades$1,0940 min
6/7/2026, 7:15:39 AM13 trades$61113 min
6/9/2026, 6:35:21 AM8 trades$5651 min
6/25/2026, 4:01:52 AM3 trades$5000 min
8/15/2026, 3:38:55 PM12 trades$3250 min
6/25/2026, 4:26:40 AM10 trades$2640 min
6/21/2026, 5:58:46 AM32 trades$25210 min
6/20/2026, 10:33:19 AM73 trades$19720 min
6/6/2026, 3:11:24 AM10 trades$1590 min
6/12/2026, 4:04:22 AM24 trades$1315 min
6/25/2026, 5:02:14 AM31 trades$11610 min
6/9/2026, 6:04:58 AM14 trades$1155 min
6/6/2026, 6:28:01 AM3 trades$1140 min
6/6/2026, 2:25:33 PM2 trades$1110 min
8/15/2026, 12:24:46 AM7 trades$1060 min
6/6/2026, 11:34:58 AM4 trades$1065 min
6/6/2026, 8:38:28 AM13 trades$1047 min
6/6/2026, 2:05:00 PM7 trades$1035 min
6/27/2026, 4:34:17 AM4 trades$1020 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
05-28
06-08
06-14
06-25
08-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
78% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.81/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.8 / M26.5 / H29.7