@0xdamocles

#2,19594

0xf5c49ad254b1d53ea0b86fb285dd3f11dc800926

~174d· 211 markets · 3256 tradesVol: $3,597,5412026-08-05 15:52:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (138/194)20/20
3.86x (win $294,027 / loss $76,154)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.23315/15
Sortino 24.32810/10
$+0.0952 per $1 invested4.8/10
HHI 477 (194 markets)10/10
65/96 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($16,920 / $217,873)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+87,316
DCA Master
Avg 17.2 entries/market
Whale
$2,287,581 invested
Consistent
65/96 profitable days
High Roller
$8,731/day
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,036$48,143Vol: $2,053,940
CRYPTO#4,139$11,625Vol: $770,572
📈 ECONOMICS#253$28,048Vol: $528,397
SPORTS#52,571$581Vol: $112,063
🎭 CULTURE#815,751$-1,996Vol: $96,059
💻 TECH#1,145$1,337Vol: $24,450
💰 FINANCE#598,891$-22Vol: $10,560
📢 MENTIONS#172,490$-390Vol: $500

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$87,316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,597,541
Total Redeem
$109,874
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
211
total markets
Trades
2222B / 1034S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~174d

Periods

#2
Today
$96
Vol: $11,493
Week
$450
Vol: $22,950
Month
$2,082
Vol: $22,950
All Time
$87,316
Vol: $3,597,541

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
136W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$87,316
Win Rate
70%
136W / 57L
Profit Factor
3.86x
Avg Win
$2,131
Avg Loss
$-1,465

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $119,753 (1.371492529501708% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$48,874
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$44,901
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$25,979
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20,236
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$11,426
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10,062
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$9,035
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$8,541
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8,467
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$8,099

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-14,947
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-11,618
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-5,128
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-4,813
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$-4,684
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-3,751
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-3,320
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-3,287
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-2,423
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?$-2,340

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.273
Sortino
0.796
HHI
760
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.076
Kelly %
36.6%
Half-Kelly
18.3%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
54%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 4.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.24
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)9%
High (>55c)86.2%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 1:40:29 PM17 trades$256,6692 min
7/20/2026, 7:40:00 AM27 trades$94,4304 min
4/6/2026, 8:04:05 PM2 trades$80,0000 min
1/5/2026, 12:34:51 AM1 trades$75,6500 min
5/7/2026, 9:07:39 PM26 trades$72,2648 min
1/3/2026, 12:09:27 PM3 trades$69,8308 min
4/12/2026, 1:56:07 AM32 trades$56,2322 min
3/29/2026, 8:55:00 PM3 trades$51,0084 min
12/29/2025, 10:12:47 AM31 trades$50,28611 min
7/10/2026, 9:40:08 PM1 trades$46,5000 min
5/31/2026, 1:42:48 AM2 trades$46,3000 min
4/6/2026, 12:51:01 AM2 trades$45,8620 min
6/1/2026, 1:40:05 AM2 trades$39,9600 min
4/23/2026, 8:23:40 PM4 trades$38,3720 min
5/1/2026, 5:44:58 PM2 trades$36,4000 min
4/9/2026, 1:08:07 PM19 trades$35,6941 min
7/10/2026, 1:32:46 PM8 trades$32,7990 min
4/5/2026, 3:26:59 AM16 trades$30,7170 min
3/8/2026, 10:52:09 PM1 trades$27,9900 min
5/2/2026, 1:40:06 PM1 trades$27,6000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-17
12-20
01-09
03-29
05-28
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.9 / M9 / H86.2