jumpster

@jumpster

#2,842,47339

0xf5d467d4ddebc037aa13edce4a83d26fdae41243

~18d· 57 markets · 192 tradesVol: $238,0742026-08-05 17:24:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (43/50)20/20
0.72x (win $806 / loss $1,115)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0890/15
Sortino -2.2360/10
$-0.0160 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 771 (50 markets)8.6/10
11/13 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 191% of peak ($897 / $471)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Consistent
11/13 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,615,039$-1,010Vol: $201,232
SPORTS#1,324,306$-9Vol: $20,929
📈 ECONOMICS#11,389$117Vol: $6,547
CRYPTO#60,458$234Vol: $5,749
💰 FINANCE#10,549$258Vol: $1,524
🌤️ WEATHER#61,934$1Vol: $352
🎭 CULTURE#119,710$2Vol: $80
📢 MENTIONS#51,030$0Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-473
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$238,074
Total Redeem
$1,142
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
84B / 108S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $0
Week
$-26
Vol: $0
Month
$-14
Vol: $0
All Time
$-473
Vol: $238,074

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
43W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-448
Win Rate
86%
43W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-223

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $504 (1.1267316114040575% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$302
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$102
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$91
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$40
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$25
US forces in Iran in 2025?$25
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?$15
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?$14
NATO article 5 in 2025?$13

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-688
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$-210
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-137
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-70
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.076
HHI
431
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
36.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.3m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 1.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)89.3%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 9:09:50 AM52 trades$6,6208 min
4/25/2026, 7:20:14 PM26 trades$3,07315 min
6/8/2026, 3:54:40 PM4 trades$2,5873 min
2/2/2026, 3:20:56 PM22 trades$2,2341 min
9/27/2025, 10:32:16 PM19 trades$2,02016 min
10/1/2025, 11:30:35 AM6 trades$1,9233 min
5/9/2026, 7:29:14 PM9 trades$1,8373 min
1/13/2026, 5:11:27 PM7 trades$1,4199 min
2/7/2026, 1:52:51 PM3 trades$1,2812 min
2/9/2026, 11:58:17 AM1 trades$1,2810 min
2/11/2026, 8:51:33 AM2 trades$1,2791 min
10/12/2025, 12:08:08 PM3 trades$1,1993 min
3/7/2026, 2:24:25 PM1 trades$1,1020 min
2/2/2026, 3:01:24 PM5 trades$8706 min
2/6/2026, 12:57:17 PM1 trades$5460 min
11/2/2025, 5:36:59 PM2 trades$5411 min
2/6/2026, 12:22:35 PM1 trades$5400 min
2/2/2026, 3:12:16 PM11 trades$5023 min
11/2/2025, 5:21:29 PM1 trades$2020 min
7/7/2026, 3:30:56 PM1 trades$1860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-27
10-08
01-13
02-09
03-01
04-25
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 73 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.1 / M3.6 / H89.3