@0xf81Cdb…2980

#2,736,06328

0xf81cdb3e40416c1841a1b0fd7aaadf46e5ef3b0d

~92d· 79 markets · 163 tradesVol: $19,9062026-10-06 23:43:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (35/67)11.1/20
0.03x (win $4 / loss $165)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9610/15
Sortino -2.9260/10
$-0.0990 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 386 (67 markets)10/10
31/54 profitable days (57%)6.9/10
Max DD 17272% of peak ($162 / $1)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#678,078$-8Vol: $7,785
🏛️ POLITICS#1,560,814$-148Vol: $7,549
⚽ SPORTS#1,123,777$-3Vol: $4,191
📈 ECONOMICS#212,552$0Vol: $192
💰 FINANCE#163,408$1Vol: $109
🌤️ WEATHER#153,925$-0Vol: $32
₿ CRYPTO#960,289$-3Vol: $18
💻 TECH#127,427$0Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-161
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,906
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
101B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $20
Week
$-0
Vol: $60
Month
$-0
Vol: $128
All Time
$-161
Vol: $19,906

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
33W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-161
Win Rate
51%
33W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.010042152243987107% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$0
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$0
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$0
Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year?$0
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" have less than 270m views on September 23?$0

Top Losers

Will PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?$-142
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$-4
Will Patrick (Player 930) win the Beast Games?$-4
Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$-3
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?$-3
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-3
Will Real Sociedad win La Liga?$-2
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-1
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 26m?$-1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.153
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
417
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
30.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 73s — normal for humanCV 1.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.63
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)89.1%

Sessions

#12
8/11/2025, 9:44:44 AM1 trades$1420 min
9/9/2025, 5:03:12 PM1 trades$830 min
10/6/2025, 2:21:27 AM1 trades$830 min
10/17/2025, 7:52:53 PM1 trades$830 min
9/19/2025, 5:48:12 PM1 trades$800 min
8/27/2025, 7:13:45 PM1 trades$800 min
10/25/2025, 10:48:31 AM1 trades$800 min
11/8/2025, 2:09:53 PM1 trades$770 min
11/3/2025, 5:50:43 AM1 trades$730 min
11/13/2025, 6:33:22 PM1 trades$730 min
11/16/2025, 12:10:26 PM1 trades$700 min
11/17/2025, 5:19:31 PM1 trades$700 min
4/26/2026, 4:22:14 AM6 trades$422 min
6/20/2026, 4:54:11 PM2 trades$410 min
5/3/2026, 4:35:58 PM2 trades$360 min
3/25/2026, 12:25:23 AM6 trades$343 min
6/1/2026, 2:49:32 PM6 trades$291 min
5/9/2026, 5:13:36 AM4 trades$271 min
9/1/2026, 3:10:49 PM4 trades$271 min
10/2/2026, 1:32:02 PM4 trades$241 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
05-15
10-17
11-17
02-09
05-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 445 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.9 / M0 / H89.1