@newbie77

#25,46588

0xf8871f87fbb32d5ce21e3f8902f70f4f0f266b54

~194d· 301 markets · 3798 tradesVol: $238,5082026-08-02 05:11:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (165/228)20/20
1.76x (win $6,314 / loss $3,579)12.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.81715/15
Sortino 7.48610/10
$+0.0173 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 220 (228 markets)10/10
75/99 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($549 / $3,105)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+4,944
DCA Master
Avg 8.7 entries/market
Whale
$158,375 invested
Consistent
75/99 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#32,167$4Vol: $139

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,962
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$238,508
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
301
total markets
Trades
2416B / 1382S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~194d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
165W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$4,944
Win Rate
72%
165W / 63L
Profit Factor
1.76x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-73

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,105 (0.22346000368098407% of PnL)

Top Winners

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$474
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1460.00 and 1479.99 at the end of January 2026?$399
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$231
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$202
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$201
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?$191
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$183
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5$172
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$168
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$168

Top Losers

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-600
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-582
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5$-340
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?$-261
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?$-238
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?$-233
Lions vs. Bears$-198
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-192
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$-105
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?$-83

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.251
Sortino
0.223
HHI
104
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
16.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 728s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.71
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)70%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 12:29:14 AM81 trades$6,69010 min
6/15/2026, 12:03:25 PM4 trades$4,9292 min
6/25/2026, 10:22:46 PM12 trades$4,1162 min
5/9/2026, 5:49:48 PM24 trades$3,4519 min
2/21/2026, 11:01:14 PM3 trades$3,2095 min
7/9/2026, 10:43:05 PM17 trades$3,1665 min
7/25/2026, 10:20:42 AM9 trades$3,0645 min
1/31/2026, 12:58:18 AM3 trades$3,0363 min
7/20/2026, 5:44:54 PM7 trades$2,9531 min
6/21/2026, 1:48:29 AM18 trades$2,8160 min
7/4/2026, 1:30:32 AM55 trades$2,81213 min
7/24/2026, 12:03:43 PM11 trades$2,4539 min
2/21/2026, 2:46:36 AM2 trades$2,3883 min
7/4/2026, 11:52:58 PM9 trades$2,3586 min
6/16/2026, 10:48:04 PM8 trades$2,3000 min
6/23/2026, 2:26:37 PM2 trades$2,0740 min
4/5/2026, 9:51:27 PM15 trades$2,0614 min
1/30/2026, 4:15:46 PM24 trades$2,04510 min
6/22/2026, 10:40:17 PM31 trades$1,98815 min
6/15/2026, 2:34:40 AM11 trades$1,8934 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
01-30
03-04
05-05
06-04
06-22
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19 / M11.1 / H70