maryakke

@maryakke

#3,156,28840

0xf98bd2ae6c3ca38f43934b6b7b967de257f56a1a

~61d· 276 markets · 1002 tradesVol: $543,5242026-10-08 02:10:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (246/276)20/20
0.20x (win $373 / loss $1,859)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4320/15
Sortino -3.4190/10
$-0.0246 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 120 (276 markets)10/10
52/60 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 828% of peak ($1,733 / $209)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Whale
$60,521 invested
Consistent
52/60 profitable days
Win Streak
58 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#305,370$-5,683Vol: $543,037
₿ CRYPTO#1,366,634$-36Vol: $487

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,719
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$543,524
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
276
total markets
Trades
626B / 376S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

Periods

#2
Today
$12
Vol: $10,008
Week
$121
Vol: $31,122
Month
$-576
Vol: $150,704
All Time
$-5,719
Vol: $543,524

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
246W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-1,187
Win Rate
89%
246W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-186

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $190 (0.1605043362466393% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 26?$108
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 26?$50
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 5?$32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 24?$24
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 3?$17
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 30?$7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 24?$6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 12?$5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 3?$5
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 25?$4

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?$-991
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 4?$-272
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?$-253
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 28?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 6?$-43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 5?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 16?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.073
HHI
116
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
12.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 508s — normal for humanCV 2.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.63
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)4.2%
High (>55c)94.9%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 5:39:11 PM18 trades$2,1150 min
7/30/2026, 4:42:36 PM3 trades$1,9580 min
6/19/2026, 5:52:44 PM26 trades$1,59112 min
6/24/2026, 1:05:41 AM2 trades$1,5030 min
6/29/2026, 12:07:20 AM4 trades$1,5004 min
6/11/2026, 3:50:06 PM11 trades$1,3990 min
6/18/2026, 12:33:08 AM2 trades$1,3840 min
6/16/2026, 6:17:11 PM16 trades$1,2724 min
7/7/2026, 7:18:58 PM10 trades$1,2113 min
7/8/2026, 10:54:10 PM3 trades$1,1920 min
7/7/2026, 3:53:38 PM13 trades$1,1479 min
7/8/2026, 4:29:17 PM9 trades$1,0876 min
6/17/2026, 4:49:25 PM9 trades$1,0094 min
6/16/2026, 7:26:44 PM2 trades$1,0080 min
6/13/2026, 10:08:48 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/14/2026, 2:24:36 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/14/2026, 3:43:34 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/15/2026, 3:33:07 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
7/13/2026, 7:56:20 PM1 trades$9990 min
6/16/2026, 11:55:03 AM1 trades$9990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-05
05-16
06-11
06-24
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M4.2 / H94.9