@0xfa5425fd5ebf5b41e124e8161b1f6e7d4383c182

16

0xfa5425fd5ebf5b41e124e8161b1f6e7d4383c182

~207d· 106 markets · 2474 trades2026-08-02 06:23:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (39/99)4.7/20
0.41x (win $2,834 / loss $6,892)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1270/15
Sortino -3.2080/10
$-0.2644 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 621 (99 markets)9.4/10
30/76 profitable days (39%)2.4/10
Max DD 15180% of peak ($4,861 / $32)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,945
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,349
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
106
total markets
Trades
1989B / 485S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~207d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
39W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$-3,945
Win Rate
39%
39W / 60L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$73
Avg Loss
$-119

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,251 (0.3172291593788499% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$469
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$458
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$324
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$172
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$156
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?$146
Lions vs. Ravens$136
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)$124
Lions vs. Commanders$80
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$74

Top Losers

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2,177
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-1,374
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?$-432
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?$-287
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-275
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?$-268
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$-179
Vikings vs. Lions$-162
Tigers vs. Nationals$-108
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 American League Championship?$-107

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.163
Sortino
-0.138
HHI
582
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.289
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.4%
Top-5 markets
44.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 574s — normal for humanCV 2.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.24
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.5%
Mid (20-55c)18.7%
High (>55c)4.8%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 6:27:48 AM14 trades$7652 min
7/20/2026, 6:54:33 AM10 trades$6361 min
2/9/2026, 7:32:11 AM7 trades$5139 min
6/13/2026, 8:16:24 AM3 trades$4500 min
6/3/2026, 2:32:39 AM2 trades$4490 min
6/13/2025, 7:37:39 PM9 trades$32414 min
11/9/2025, 8:57:43 AM2 trades$3210 min
6/13/2025, 8:34:03 PM8 trades$2876 min
5/17/2026, 12:19:58 PM5 trades$2693 min
6/13/2025, 8:01:59 PM11 trades$2672 min
7/2/2026, 4:48:02 AM4 trades$2641 min
11/2/2025, 1:06:13 AM10 trades$26013 min
6/27/2026, 10:31:41 AM4 trades$2550 min
7/31/2026, 5:57:21 AM3 trades$2510 min
3/12/2026, 5:38:55 AM6 trades$2464 min
6/21/2026, 3:56:35 AM4 trades$2441 min
6/21/2026, 4:14:53 AM5 trades$2193 min
2/22/2026, 1:14:20 AM3 trades$2160 min
11/2/2025, 2:16:03 AM7 trades$2156 min
10/19/2025, 10:43:29 AM2 trades$2135 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-01
07-11
09-04
10-05
11-13
03-18
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 189 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.5 / M18.7 / H4.8