jwd103103

@jwd103103

#2,769,88722

0xfa7e25c8df8d4f36e5a87731ba2b91540046f37e

~313d· 1050 markets · 5667 tradesVol: $328,9882026-08-04 21:25:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (340/932)3.2/20
1.03x (win $16,514 / loss $16,026)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1222.3/15
Sortino 0.1781.8/10
$+0.0083 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 115 (932 markets)10/10
88/236 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 122% of peak ($4,194 / $3,437)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
Whale
$59,126 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,581,816$-311Vol: $116,036
🎭 CULTURE#814,660$-2,761Vol: $93,688
⚽ SPORTS#73,297$296Vol: $47,684
💰 FINANCE#14,817$146Vol: $26,607
₿ CRYPTO#16,263$2,711Vol: $23,747
📈 ECONOMICS#661,874$-111Vol: $15,806
📢 MENTIONS#162,528$-89Vol: $1,392
💻 TECH#227,928$-10Vol: $671
🌤️ WEATHER#56,330$1Vol: $91

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-283
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$328,988
Total Redeem
$65
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1050
total markets
Trades
4182B / 1485S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~313d

Periods

#2
Today
$-80
Vol: $801
Week
$-63
Vol: $2,436
Month
$-30
Vol: $4,097
All Time
$-283
Vol: $328,988

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
339W / 593L events
Realized PnL
$-283
Win Rate
36%
339W / 593L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,668 (20.061982300884956% of PnL)

Top Winners

Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?$2,524
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?$1,830
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?$1,314
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$975
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$406
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$395
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$393
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$257
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$206
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$177

Top Losers

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$-2,475
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?$-1,632
Solana ETF approved by July 31?$-463
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?$-345
Russia announces air truce by August 31?$-327
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?$-317
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?$-298
Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?$-263
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-225
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.006
Sortino
0.008
HHI
121
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 202s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.45
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.3%
Mid (20-55c)41.2%
High (>55c)29.6%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2025, 3:35:02 AM20 trades$2,26811 min
7/28/2025, 12:17:25 AM6 trades$1,9622 min
10/5/2025, 6:18:19 AM13 trades$1,1754 min
8/15/2025, 12:21:28 PM1 trades$1,0580 min
6/4/2025, 1:42:12 PM6 trades$97710 min
6/12/2026, 8:55:51 PM8 trades$9014 min
8/29/2025, 4:16:57 PM14 trades$84418 min
6/24/2025, 1:17:01 AM7 trades$7829 min
5/10/2025, 1:06:07 PM4 trades$7745 min
5/18/2025, 11:13:21 PM9 trades$7725 min
6/24/2025, 10:11:19 AM10 trades$7646 min
5/26/2025, 3:09:50 AM12 trades$7307 min
6/30/2026, 10:06:13 PM13 trades$7241 min
5/19/2025, 12:17:09 AM10 trades$69310 min
6/25/2025, 12:05:11 AM8 trades$6806 min
4/8/2026, 4:48:49 PM13 trades$6521 min
8/9/2025, 11:54:39 PM8 trades$5825 min
7/2/2025, 10:22:23 PM3 trades$5766 min
5/10/2025, 1:38:15 PM4 trades$5404 min
6/25/2025, 11:34:29 AM1 trades$5170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
06-17
08-13
12-25
02-19
05-15
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 314 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.45/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.3 / M41.2 / H29.6