@nicholasflamel
#69,556680xfb447c72da8a141aa53497022eeb03530e491482
~44d· 44 markets · 231 tradesVol: $31,6562026-08-04 16:19:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
62% (23/37)16.1/20
1.27x (win $3,739 / loss $2,943)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.20915/15
Sortino 1.41210/10
$+0.0564 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 564 (37 markets)9.7/10
19/29 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 248% of peak ($1,977 / $796)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+1,313
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Consistent
19/29 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Categories
3📈 ECONOMICS#2,776$1,174Vol: $18,615
🏛️ POLITICS#1,319,477$-13Vol: $12,436
⚽ SPORTS#99,437$152Vol: $604
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,313
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,656
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
87B / 144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d
Periods
#2Today
$-16
Vol: $0
Week
$-32
Vol: $0
Month
$-17
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,313
Vol: $31,656
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
62%
23W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$1,313
Win Rate
62%
23W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$163
Avg Loss
$-226
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,520 (1.157984140647019% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$621
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?$484
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$415
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$323
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$319
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$224
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$133
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$129
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$121
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$112
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,185
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-781
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$-206
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-140
Maduro out in 2025?$-128
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-100
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-100
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-84
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?$-80
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?$-63
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.062
Sortino
0.043
HHI
748
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.1%
Top-5 markets
49.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.68
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.7%
Mid (20-55c)29.9%
High (>55c)64.4%
Sessions
#122/5/2026, 2:48:07 PM1 trades$1,4000 min
4/7/2026, 11:31:43 PM16 trades$1,2653 min
7/31/2026, 9:04:54 AM18 trades$1,1524 min
7/7/2026, 8:48:28 PM3 trades$1,1280 min
2/5/2026, 6:08:59 AM1 trades$1,0520 min
1/27/2026, 6:34:45 AM2 trades$1,0501 min
4/14/2026, 7:14:07 AM2 trades$1,0230 min
4/16/2026, 11:04:18 PM8 trades$8871 min
6/2/2026, 9:25:10 PM14 trades$8852 min
3/2/2026, 10:14:11 PM3 trades$8683 min
4/28/2026, 5:09:04 AM22 trades$7922 min
4/3/2026, 8:41:27 PM15 trades$7481 min
5/27/2026, 9:37:10 PM5 trades$7330 min
2/9/2026, 11:41:55 AM2 trades$6891 min
5/6/2026, 1:50:26 PM9 trades$5281 min
5/4/2026, 3:30:08 PM5 trades$5170 min
12/15/2025, 9:54:37 PM1 trades$5000 min
4/3/2026, 1:04:33 PM4 trades$4650 min
7/28/2026, 5:15:07 AM6 trades$4131 min
3/31/2026, 8:44:11 AM2 trades$4001 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
01-28
02-12
03-09
04-07
05-06
06-27
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.7 / M29.9 / H64.4