@baybug

#2,736,33641

0xfb666a1656a3c9e0bb2cad14252284c7bb5b5e13

~456d· 1875 markets · 5290 tradesVol: $580,9772026-09-06 05:55:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (1285/1745)20/20
1.00x (win $36,303 / loss $36,250)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0070.1/15
Sortino 0.0080.1/10
$+0.0002 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 129 (1745 markets)10/10
251/402 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 2085% of peak ($11,128 / $534)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Whale
$305,757 invested
Consistent
251/402 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#12,736$1,754Vol: $350,877
CRYPTO#27,687$1,228Vol: $75,761
SPORTS#1,874,887$-2,026Vol: $26,369
📈 ECONOMICS#5,063$458Vol: $23,875
🎭 CULTURE#8,059$511Vol: $16,004
💰 FINANCE#659,767$-618Vol: $13,316
🌤️ WEATHER#11,378$45Vol: $3,613
📢 MENTIONS#155,359$-36Vol: $2,009
💻 TECH#252,080$-40Vol: $962

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-185
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$580,977
Total Redeem
$1,855
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1875
total markets
Trades
4051B / 1239S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~456d

Periods

#2
Today
$13
Vol: $0
Week
$224
Vol: $0
Month
$267
Vol: $5,389
All Time
$-185
Vol: $580,977

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
1285W / 460L events
Realized PnL
$-891
Win Rate
74%
1285W / 460L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-80

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,636 (5.206167044714443% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$2,177
Iran leadership change by April 30?$1,284
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1,175
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$943
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$789
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$762
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$755
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$637
Iran leadership change by June 30?$631
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$604

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-2,543
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-2,392
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-2,185
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?$-1,617
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,438
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,397
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-1,010
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$-999
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-841
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-782

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
17.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1171s — normal for humanCV 2.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal3.0 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)87.6%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 8:19:57 AM16 trades$20,7750 min
3/20/2026, 4:43:25 AM1 trades$4,9980 min
5/5/2026, 3:16:28 PM4 trades$4,6630 min
4/1/2026, 2:57:27 PM9 trades$4,5257 min
3/17/2026, 9:32:29 AM2 trades$3,6241 min
3/30/2026, 1:26:26 PM1 trades$3,2690 min
4/2/2026, 1:58:15 AM1 trades$2,4220 min
2/4/2026, 5:19:51 PM3 trades$2,2167 min
2/4/2026, 3:08:50 PM9 trades$2,1963 min
5/1/2026, 6:56:50 AM7 trades$1,9240 min
5/31/2026, 3:03:47 PM2 trades$1,9201 min
1/30/2026, 11:27:58 AM7 trades$1,82624 min
5/2/2026, 4:56:58 AM9 trades$1,8095 min
6/14/2026, 9:45:45 PM1 trades$1,8000 min
5/4/2026, 9:46:50 AM2 trades$1,7600 min
6/19/2026, 8:04:23 PM3 trades$1,7354 min
4/2/2026, 3:24:53 AM8 trades$1,6804 min
3/13/2026, 5:39:21 AM2 trades$1,6614 min
2/22/2026, 6:57:40 AM1 trades$1,6500 min
5/2/2026, 7:21:14 AM7 trades$1,6420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
05-27
08-13
11-08
02-15
05-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.3 / M11.1 / H87.6