@royalestake

#1,16559

0xfb681e23db8d1cca8a6b7e2a70a29e000ddfa240

~228d· 560 markets · 12519 tradesVol: $4,706,9192026-08-04 18:54:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (259/549)8.6/20
1.08x (win $971,629 / loss $895,999)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.92415/15
Sortino 1.35210/10
$+0.0433 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 31 (549 markets)10/10
94/178 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($71,867 / $138,237)3.6/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+174,548
Contrarian
89% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
3% sells
DCA Master
Avg 22.3 entries/market
Whale
$1,747,863 invested
High Roller
$3,553/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#528$174,548Vol: $4,706,919

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$174,548
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,706,919
Total Redeem
$217,588
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
560
total markets
Trades
12200B / 319S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~228d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $4,908
Week
$-28
Vol: $5,002
Month
$-28
Vol: $5,040
All Time
$174,548
Vol: $4,706,919

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
259W / 290L events
Realized PnL
$174,548
Win Rate
47%
259W / 290L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$3,751
Avg Loss
$-3,090

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39,666 (0.22724876147227607% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?$14,160
Flyers vs. Blues$13,156
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers $12,350
Bruins vs. Sabres$11,422
Kraken vs. Lightning$11,360
Capitals vs. Utah$11,048
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latvia$10,800
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden$10,540
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers$9,941
Jets vs. Avalanche$9,900

Top Losers

Maple Leafs vs. Senators$-11,780
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks$-11,639
Canadiens vs. Rangers$-11,300
Blues vs. Utah$-10,804
Penguins vs. Islanders$-10,200
Capitals vs. Canadiens$-9,546
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes$-9,517
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5$-9,020
Golden Knights vs. Kings$-8,500
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5$-8,478

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.048
Sortino
0.064
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
0.1%
Half-Kelly
0.1%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.8m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 4.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.26
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)79.3%
High (>55c)11.1%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 5:13:57 AM12 trades$30,21213 min
4/15/2026, 3:32:14 PM11 trades$21,0346 min
1/24/2026, 3:55:24 PM19 trades$20,01625 min
3/9/2026, 6:18:09 PM4 trades$16,9269 min
3/25/2026, 10:02:51 PM74 trades$16,458106 min
4/9/2026, 8:54:33 PM26 trades$16,0585 min
1/25/2026, 4:59:08 PM62 trades$14,31654 min
11/15/2025, 3:13:46 AM5 trades$13,00012 min
3/25/2026, 7:59:29 PM19 trades$12,7855 min
5/12/2026, 2:03:04 AM16 trades$12,5121 min
6/6/2026, 5:05:24 PM19 trades$11,6860 min
4/16/2026, 11:03:20 PM34 trades$11,2453 min
4/4/2026, 3:41:03 AM2 trades$10,8401 min
1/11/2026, 6:02:04 PM1 trades$10,8000 min
4/25/2026, 6:32:12 PM6 trades$10,5965 min
1/15/2026, 5:06:42 PM8 trades$10,58215 min
1/7/2026, 4:29:39 PM8 trades$10,52411 min
1/27/2026, 3:29:25 PM2 trades$10,5003 min
2/3/2026, 3:39:28 PM33 trades$10,2005 min
5/4/2026, 5:29:20 PM9 trades$9,4262 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-22
11-12
12-30
01-30
03-12
04-10
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.26/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L9.5 / M79.3 / H11.1