donshowzy

@donshowzy

#216,98438

0xfbccca8f1bcb51a174f285c28255931dc24aedbe

~32d· 40 markets · 111 tradesVol: $4,737 @donshowzy2026-09-10 21:14:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (14/37)3.9/20
1.08x (win $263 / loss $242)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3977.4/15
Sortino 0.9149.1/10
$+0.0499 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 525 (37 markets)9.9/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 582% of peak ($201 / $35)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+126
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
💻 TECH#5,864$116Vol: $1,412
SPORTS#1,623,950$-54Vol: $1,126
💰 FINANCE#25,841$53Vol: $1,002
CRYPTO#238,532$10Vol: $611
📢 MENTIONS#26,108$5Vol: $346
🎭 CULTURE#116,100$3Vol: $129
🏛️ POLITICS#1,191,898$-6Vol: $112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$126
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,737
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
53B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$-32
Vol: $0
Week
$-48
Vol: $592
Month
$31
Vol: $940
All Time
$126
Vol: $4,737

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
14W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$126
Win Rate
38%
14W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $226 (1.7920438303954265% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?$177
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$36
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 25?$12
Spurs vs. Thunder$5
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29?$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$5
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 28?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?$3
Warriors vs. Raptors$3

Top Losers

Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?$-37
France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5$-31
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?$-25
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5$-19
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$-14
Celtics vs. Pacers$-12
Cavaliers vs. Spurs$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-10
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.020
Sortino
0.050
HHI
312
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
28%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6442s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.73
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34%
Mid (20-55c)37.7%
High (>55c)28.3%

Sessions

#12
9/6/2026, 12:15:55 PM15 trades$2211 min
7/21/2026, 11:50:57 AM4 trades$1140 min
9/2/2026, 8:52:24 PM2 trades$1080 min
6/21/2026, 8:50:59 AM5 trades$892 min
7/29/2026, 10:43:26 AM3 trades$790 min
7/30/2026, 2:19:09 PM4 trades$740 min
6/22/2026, 9:41:05 PM2 trades$700 min
6/26/2026, 12:38:23 AM4 trades$611 min
7/7/2026, 8:16:05 PM2 trades$480 min
8/11/2026, 8:01:57 PM3 trades$310 min
12/25/2025, 6:46:03 PM1 trades$260 min
6/22/2026, 10:56:19 AM2 trades$260 min
8/7/2026, 2:21:19 PM2 trades$250 min
5/24/2026, 5:59:47 PM2 trades$230 min
6/21/2026, 4:50:46 PM4 trades$220 min
7/31/2026, 1:43:33 PM2 trades$200 min
6/3/2026, 6:59:22 PM2 trades$170 min
6/25/2026, 7:38:53 PM2 trades$170 min
12/29/2025, 5:57:33 PM1 trades$150 min
12/28/2025, 6:39:25 PM1 trades$140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
12-25
12-30
05-27
06-23
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 208 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.73/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34 / M37.7 / H28.3