@donnaclarkinson

#1,956,59820

0xfbe1887aa6742716cb0d8f8d41a9450543d9ce4f

~42d· 48 markets · 92 tradesVol: $102,3982026-09-19 18:17:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (24/47)10.5/20
0.37x (win $55 / loss $147)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6380/15
Sortino -5.8360/10
$-0.4398 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1612 (47 markets)4.4/10
20/40 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 995% of peak ($104 / $10)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,414,799$-13Vol: $255
CRYPTO#904,464$-1Vol: $35

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102,398
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
57B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
24W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-16
Win Rate
51%
24W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27 (1.6988176726820163% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kings vs. Clippers$13
Penguins vs. Capitals$8
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets$6
Warriors vs. Jazz$5
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Roegle$4
Panthers vs. Canadiens$4
Knicks vs. Raptors$4
Celtics vs. Bucks$3
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Charlotte Checkers$3
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage$2

Top Losers

Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-28
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-26
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-18
Warriors vs. Rockets$-8
Pelicans vs. Suns$-7
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers$-7
Stars vs. Sabres$-6
Penguins vs. Devils$-6
Ducks vs. Wild$-6
Ducks vs. Oilers$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.291
Sortino
-0.283
HHI
1727
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.350
Kelly %
15.9%
Half-Kelly
7.9%
Top-1 market
26.6%
Top-5 markets
75.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
10.9h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 35044s — normal for humanCV 0.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.8%
Mid (20-55c)28.1%
High (>55c)49.1%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 3:31:59 PM6 trades$571 min
4/25/2026, 12:23:04 PM5 trades$260 min
5/4/2026, 8:29:02 AM4 trades$193 min
8/18/2026, 10:37:13 AM2 trades$180 min
4/25/2026, 12:36:18 PM1 trades$100 min
5/4/2026, 1:50:30 PM1 trades$90 min
3/6/2026, 12:05:23 AM1 trades$80 min
4/11/2026, 2:23:07 PM2 trades$80 min
4/5/2026, 6:33:51 PM1 trades$80 min
8/18/2026, 11:41:33 AM1 trades$70 min
3/6/2026, 10:39:03 PM1 trades$70 min
3/10/2026, 11:06:25 PM1 trades$70 min
3/12/2026, 10:33:29 PM1 trades$60 min
4/8/2026, 5:29:59 PM2 trades$60 min
4/13/2026, 11:34:07 AM2 trades$60 min
4/14/2026, 4:00:21 PM2 trades$60 min
4/26/2026, 7:43:56 PM2 trades$60 min
3/3/2026, 7:30:25 PM1 trades$60 min
4/7/2026, 2:34:33 PM1 trades$50 min
3/3/2026, 9:31:37 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-08
03-15
04-08
04-25
05-04
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 107 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.8 / M28.1 / H49.1