@demort

#2,892,32813

0xfbf3b307ed4d8702407a72d555896dd4fc02b38a

~44d· 295 markets · 1227 tradesVol: $36,356 @xqaqe341687962026-08-04 20:21:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (67/187)2.9/20
0.67x (win $794 / loss $1,177)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1380/15
Sortino -5.5890/10
$-0.0404 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 269 (187 markets)10/10
11/38 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 11502% of peak ($470 / $4)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,564,272$-207Vol: $10,680
CRYPTO#1,525,962$-180Vol: $7,610
💰 FINANCE#636,746$-128Vol: $7,317
SPORTS#1,649,116$-80Vol: $3,554
🎭 CULTURE#699,480$-12Vol: $1,787
📈 ECONOMICS#613,564$-14Vol: $1,373
💻 TECH#227,758$-10Vol: $1,228
📢 MENTIONS#102,403$-3Vol: $943
🌤️ WEATHER#274,696$-45Vol: $471

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-721
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,356
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
295
total markets
Trades
849B / 378S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $1,580
Week
$-30
Vol: $4,439
Month
$-30
Vol: $4,439
All Time
$-721
Vol: $36,356

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
67W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$-721
Win Rate
36%
67W / 120L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $311 (0.4320292007272425% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$182
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?$66
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$42
Will Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$36
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?$24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 19?$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$14

Top Losers

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-62
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$-43
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$-37
Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?$-35
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?$-31
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$-31
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$-30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?$-30
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?$-29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.214
Sortino
-0.330
HHI
56
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.078
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
12.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 536s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.8%
Mid (20-55c)43.2%
High (>55c)39.9%

Sessions

#12
3/1/2026, 3:41:23 AM5 trades$4049 min
3/13/2026, 8:33:11 AM5 trades$34511 min
8/3/2026, 8:14:11 PM4 trades$2900 min
8/4/2026, 2:32:09 AM4 trades$2890 min
8/3/2026, 1:41:54 PM5 trades$2790 min
8/3/2026, 3:32:42 PM6 trades$2780 min
8/4/2026, 4:47:56 PM6 trades$2750 min
8/3/2026, 7:53:33 AM4 trades$2730 min
8/3/2026, 3:49:15 PM4 trades$2680 min
8/4/2026, 2:38:44 AM4 trades$1930 min
3/13/2026, 9:54:31 AM5 trades$1709 min
3/13/2026, 8:05:47 AM8 trades$16113 min
6/18/2026, 10:09:08 AM11 trades$1606 min
8/4/2026, 1:37:11 AM3 trades$1370 min
6/13/2026, 2:56:15 AM23 trades$1361 min
8/3/2026, 7:43:11 AM4 trades$1360 min
3/17/2026, 1:30:57 AM6 trades$1357 min
8/3/2026, 7:09:35 PM4 trades$1340 min
2/13/2026, 1:59:19 AM3 trades$1305 min
3/13/2026, 2:44:23 AM6 trades$1279 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
03-06
03-19
06-11
06-17
06-24
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 129 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.52/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.8 / M43.2 / H39.9