XAE12Archangel

@XAE12Archangel

#61034

0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029

~490d· 549 markets · 231848 tradesVol: $368,824,109 @polymarketbet2026-09-09 21:34:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (338/495)19.1/20
1.00x (win $985,623 / loss $983,946)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0020/15
Sortino 0.0030/10
$+0.0003 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1505 (495 markets)5/10
150/248 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 1073% of peak ($721,712 / $67,236)0/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+354,279
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
5% sells
DCA Master
Avg 52.8 entries/market
Whale
$4,794,290 invested
Consistent
150/248 profitable days
High Roller
$5,492/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#313$168,922Vol: $189,334,037
📈 ECONOMICS#35$166,266Vol: $172,531,925
⚽ SPORTS#1,777,181$-249Vol: $1,660,669
🎭 CULTURE#1,334$6,216Vol: $1,570,320
₿ CRYPTO#10,953$4,489Vol: $1,457,378
💰 FINANCE#887$6,334Vol: $1,152,033
💻 TECH#265,472$-303Vol: $44,947
📢 MENTIONS#175,520$-357Vol: $15,722
🌤️ WEATHER#2,439$581Vol: $7,153

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$356,454
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$368,824,109
Total Redeem
$2,303
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
549
total markets
Trades
12050B / 11506S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~490d

Periods

#2
Today
$-688
Vol: $6,445
Week
$-2,307
Vol: $40,402
Month
$-292
Vol: $110,811
All Time
$356,454
Vol: $368,824,109

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
1022W / 290L events
Realized PnL
$354,279
Win Rate
78%
1022W / 290L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$2,916
Avg Loss
$-6,431

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $827,697 (2.3362885773262687% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$691,212
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$80,892
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$55,594
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$16,400
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$15,925
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$14,065
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$13,984
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$9,249
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$7,539
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,087

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-687,993
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-122,662
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-39,051
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-28,047
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$-12,178
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-11,756
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$-10,614
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-9,224
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-8,416
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-8,293

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
1957
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
2.6%
Half-Kelly
1.3%
Top-1 market
32%
Top-5 markets
82.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
265.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.4m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — normal for humanCV 5.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock266 trades/day — automation0.6 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
52.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.5%
Mid (20-55c)33.9%
High (>55c)45.7%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 10:16:13 AM37 trades$300,0001 min
6/17/2026, 3:46:59 PM7 trades$200,0872 min
6/13/2026, 3:33:18 AM21 trades$99,5860 min
7/15/2026, 12:28:26 PM17 trades$74,6170 min
10/15/2024, 10:37:20 AM1 trades$64,4020 min
12/8/2025, 5:48:55 PM13 trades$60,50916 min
10/14/2024, 12:25:56 PM51 trades$58,90943 min
10/14/2024, 2:03:50 PM1 trades$55,8470 min
7/15/2026, 12:45:28 PM21 trades$55,7927 min
10/14/2024, 4:10:44 PM14 trades$54,66513 min
10/26/2024, 6:15:29 PM1 trades$52,4960 min
10/12/2024, 6:49:25 PM5 trades$50,1116 min
6/10/2026, 7:28:10 AM9 trades$50,0000 min
10/13/2024, 9:49:45 AM12 trades$48,7225 min
12/10/2025, 7:49:44 AM39 trades$46,03351 min
10/28/2025, 1:14:47 PM1 trades$44,4150 min
7/17/2026, 3:38:37 PM2 trades$42,9932 min
10/12/2024, 10:45:52 AM41 trades$40,34631 min
10/27/2025, 7:05:35 AM4 trades$39,6494 min
10/3/2024, 12:47:55 PM23 trades$39,21621 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
10-23
05-25
10-14
01-04
03-23
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.5 / M33.9 / H45.7