@marchonnow
#2,990,533920xfc04e014f3e520191b5f456ca6a47f93b0a14f75
~84d· 150 markets · 2590 tradesVol: $951,4312026-08-02 05:23:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
65% (92/141)17.6/20
6.44x (win $89,080 / loss $13,839)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.64115/15
Sortino 28.73110/10
$+0.1033 per $1 invested5.2/10
HHI 559 (141 markets)9.7/10
48/67 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($4,738 / $76,461)10/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 65%
DCA Master
Avg 17.4 entries/market
Whale
$728,156 invested
Consistent
48/67 profitable days
High Roller
$5,022/day
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,849$-1,316Vol: $610,783
💰 FINANCE#898$6,048Vol: $169,608
📈 ECONOMICS#677,020$-795Vol: $73,277
📢 MENTIONS#161,240$-80Vol: $17,740
⚽ SPORTS#964,332$-1Vol: $72
🌤️ WEATHER#158,315$-0Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,978
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$951,431
Total Redeem
$41,719
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
150
total markets
Trades
784B / 1806S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~84d
Periods
#2Today
$445
Vol: $0
Week
$437
Vol: $0
Month
$724
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,978
Vol: $951,431
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
65%
92W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$-1,978
Win Rate
65%
92W / 49L
Profit Factor
6.44x
Avg Win
$968
Avg Loss
$-407
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39,924 (20.186545316647706% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$18,845
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$14,560
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6,519
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5,782
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5,344
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$5,157
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$3,301
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$3,115
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$2,478
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$2,357
Top Losers
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-5,307
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$-2,290
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,216
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$-2,053
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$-615
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-248
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$-158
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-128
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-108
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.293
Sortino
0.829
HHI
496
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.106
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
37.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
17.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 466s — normal for humanCV 2.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity18 trades/day — very active1.0 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
17.37
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.9%
Mid (20-55c)8.3%
High (>55c)85.8%
Sessions
#125/24/2026, 8:55:01 AM53 trades$59,1444 min
6/23/2026, 9:56:01 AM7 trades$33,5951 min
5/24/2026, 8:46:16 AM4 trades$30,6462 min
6/5/2026, 1:36:19 AM61 trades$29,59711 min
5/1/2026, 10:22:42 PM14 trades$28,9232 min
4/17/2026, 12:27:58 PM6 trades$28,4501 min
5/24/2026, 10:34:28 AM32 trades$27,8934 min
5/24/2026, 3:30:38 PM25 trades$27,3703 min
5/22/2026, 3:28:28 AM39 trades$26,5481 min
5/1/2026, 5:12:04 AM12 trades$25,8431 min
4/26/2026, 1:11:10 PM11 trades$25,0878 min
4/17/2026, 11:36:58 AM15 trades$22,5081 min
5/16/2026, 10:37:19 AM30 trades$21,7231 min
6/24/2026, 9:52:25 PM23 trades$20,8672 min
6/8/2026, 11:28:21 AM15 trades$20,4472 min
5/5/2026, 12:20:16 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
4/14/2026, 3:21:53 PM11 trades$19,8265 min
5/11/2026, 1:36:52 AM10 trades$19,8036 min
4/19/2026, 12:18:02 AM18 trades$18,7744 min
6/24/2026, 9:43:22 PM5 trades$18,3190 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
04-25
05-09
05-22
06-05
06-24
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.9 / M8.3 / H85.8