@MPIL

#3,180,04418

0xfc081d2dab43d97ee05b624e2166808ad3e96be7

~96d· 87 markets · 1362 tradesVol: $749,7442026-10-08 03:59:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (29/69)6/20
0.85x (win $30,005 / loss $35,198)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8360/15
Sortino -1.1560/10
$-0.0387 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1045 (69 markets)7.3/10
15/33 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($23,796 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
Whale
$134,156 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,736,448$-27,303Vol: $391,076
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,364$-907Vol: $239,533
💰 FINANCE#684$7,749Vol: $73,960
📈 ECONOMICS#683,440$-196Vol: $17,589
🎭 CULTURE#815,307$-486Vol: $16,775
⚽ SPORTS#213,846$24Vol: $100
💻 TECH#30,369$3Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,735
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$749,744
Total Redeem
$914
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
1166B / 196S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d

Periods

#2
Today
$-33
Vol: $0
Week
$84
Vol: $1,805
Month
$-183
Vol: $9,305
All Time
$-20,735
Vol: $749,744

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
29W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-20,884
Win Rate
42%
29W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$1,035
Avg Loss
$-880

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,481 (0.7412492183168122% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$8,487
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$3,926
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$3,068
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$2,379
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?$2,153
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$2,021
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?$1,849
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$1,594
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,120
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$950

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-7,235
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$-6,054
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?$-5,144
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$-2,584
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$-2,190
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$-1,850
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?$-1,580
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-853
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?$-806
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$-806

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.043
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
554
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
41.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 444s — normal for humanCV 3.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.03
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.7%
High (>55c)43.9%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 6:38:45 AM30 trades$13,0484 min
4/17/2026, 1:31:36 PM7 trades$12,5721 min
12/7/2025, 9:57:33 AM2 trades$8,7000 min
1/20/2026, 1:58:12 PM1 trades$8,4300 min
4/8/2026, 2:09:31 PM1 trades$5,5200 min
1/25/2026, 9:37:18 PM1 trades$5,4750 min
2/10/2026, 3:04:17 PM22 trades$5,42721 min
1/22/2026, 2:28:10 PM1 trades$4,4470 min
1/24/2026, 5:28:46 AM3 trades$4,2441 min
12/10/2025, 3:20:26 PM1 trades$3,6450 min
1/12/2026, 10:52:04 AM1 trades$3,4110 min
5/6/2026, 4:50:09 PM2 trades$3,1950 min
4/8/2026, 12:28:55 PM10 trades$3,1650 min
1/9/2026, 4:19:14 PM1 trades$3,0590 min
2/20/2026, 3:50:56 PM13 trades$2,87412 min
4/7/2026, 9:45:41 AM18 trades$2,7811 min
1/12/2026, 1:34:10 PM1 trades$2,6130 min
2/10/2026, 8:54:21 AM2 trades$2,4430 min
12/21/2025, 7:05:06 PM4 trades$2,4077 min
12/15/2025, 8:39:27 PM1 trades$2,4010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
12-13
12-28
01-20
02-10
04-17
06-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.4 / M25.7 / H43.9