Skinner77

@Skinner77

#3,006,32456

0xfc1243854e34aea5e8c577e467ef148cbc7e18a9

~9d· 8 markets · 84 tradesVol: $79,2262026-09-21 02:32:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (4/7)13.6/20
5.36x (win $3,416 / loss $637)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.1824 per $1 invested9.1/10
HHI 4946 (7 markets)0/10
4/6 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($617 / $2,779)9.6/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20
Consistent
4/6 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 22%

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,583,428$-209Vol: $60,564
📈 ECONOMICS#9,636$159Vol: $16,535
⚽ SPORTS#1,856,864$-1,000Vol: $2,128

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,050
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$79,226
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
49B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
4W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-1,036
Win Rate
57%
4W / 3L
Profit Factor
5.36x
Avg Win
$854
Avg Loss
$-212

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,338 (3.221846825105701% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2,144
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$1,110
Another Canada election called by June 30?$84
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?$79

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-367
US government shutdown Saturday?$-250
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.475
Sortino
5.589
HHI
4399
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.186
Kelly %
12.4%
Half-Kelly
6.2%
Top-1 market
61.9%
Top-5 markets
97.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 390s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.6%
Mid (20-55c)4.1%
High (>55c)16.3%

Sessions

#12
4/15/2026, 2:32:28 PM61 trades$22,8670 min
8/31/2026, 8:55:40 PM2 trades$5,6460 min
4/29/2026, 8:36:40 PM2 trades$4,8520 min
4/11/2026, 11:46:39 AM12 trades$2,9784 min
12/27/2025, 10:14:31 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
1/24/2026, 7:50:28 PM1 trades$1,6330 min
3/15/2026, 5:52:47 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
1/1/2026, 5:24:59 PM1 trades$2500 min
1/24/2026, 7:56:58 PM1 trades$1500 min
12/28/2025, 4:30:05 PM1 trades$1000 min
12/28/2025, 6:20:39 PM1 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
01-01
01-24
03-15
04-11
04-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.6 / M4.1 / H16.3