@0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8

#3,070,73538

0x64c8ec47e1f5a367f234a74f8176d805e87173ce

~126d· 94 markets · 3958 tradesVol: $9,989,5682026-08-02 08:58:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (58/83)19.9/20
0.71x (win $432,765 / loss $613,730)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5120/15
Sortino -1.7280/10
$-0.0312 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 903 (83 markets)8/10
40/56 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 1320% of peak ($240,199 / $18,200)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 70%
DCA Master
Avg 37.7 entries/market
Whale
$5,794,559 invested
Consistent
40/56 profitable days
High Roller
$8,623/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,234$-46,118Vol: $5,738,203
📈 ECONOMICS#682,368$-168,614Vol: $2,306,318
💻 TECH#445$4,139Vol: $1,358,872
₿ CRYPTO#2,146$20,516Vol: $200,058
🎭 CULTURE#818,358$-30,018Vol: $163,544
⚽ SPORTS#4,539$12,213Vol: $145,000
💰 FINANCE#386$13,900Vol: $70,000
📢 MENTIONS#92,540$-2Vol: $221

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-193,653
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,989,568
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
3301B / 657S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~126d

Periods

#2
Today
$455
Vol: $289
Week
$-29,627
Vol: $289
Month
$-5,079
Vol: $140,435
All Time
$-193,653
Vol: $9,989,568

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
58W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-193,499
Win Rate
70%
58W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$7,461
Avg Loss
$-24,549

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $202,066 (1.0442716019357392% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$118,458
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?$51,117
Will Biden finish his term?$32,490
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$31,404
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$28,227
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$19,350
Iran strike on Israel before December?$19,000
Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?$14,461
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$8,404
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$8,375

Top Losers

Will there be a US Government shutdown? $-177,400
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-159,476
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?$-99,000
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$-38,607
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$-19,204
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-18,120
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-17,847
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?$-17,731
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$-17,237
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?$-16,400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
938
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.4%
Top-5 markets
57.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.5m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 8.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
37.75
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.7%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)56.8%

Sessions

#12
1/21/2025, 12:27:57 AM38 trades$971,73944 min
1/1/2025, 1:05:52 AM3 trades$593,4010 min
1/20/2025, 11:32:33 PM10 trades$363,78311 min
6/28/2025, 6:24:03 PM18 trades$180,8615 min
12/27/2024, 12:57:28 PM2 trades$175,8624 min
10/30/2025, 4:27:05 AM2 trades$123,6172 min
12/26/2024, 11:20:44 PM1 trades$101,6900 min
2/14/2025, 6:39:58 AM1 trades$101,1850 min
12/20/2024, 7:14:28 PM27 trades$99,4929 min
2/14/2025, 12:49:56 AM1 trades$98,4410 min
11/24/2024, 9:14:57 AM1 trades$90,0000 min
2/14/2025, 1:55:37 PM2 trades$87,2174 min
1/20/2025, 3:20:43 PM2 trades$85,2823 min
2/15/2025, 10:30:14 PM4 trades$75,8427 min
11/20/2024, 10:33:29 PM2 trades$65,0934 min
2/16/2025, 6:25:58 PM3 trades$60,8825 min
11/23/2025, 11:09:51 PM2 trades$55,7040 min
9/28/2025, 6:28:45 PM9 trades$50,5233 min
11/4/2025, 8:05:19 AM1 trades$47,7630 min
11/21/2024, 7:10:21 PM1 trades$45,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
12-03
12-23
01-21
10-25
01-08
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.7 / M19.6 / H56.8