@Ballons
#73,000430xfcfe7b9756da0d7ca1837e3281910d9e67ead420
~472d· 2749 markets · 5018 tradesVol: $1,229,5882026-08-24 17:06:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (1400/2742)10.5/20
1.05x (win $153,638 / loss $146,360)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3356.3/15
Sortino 0.5885.9/10
$+0.0178 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 27 (2742 markets)10/10
261/457 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 153% of peak ($14,417 / $9,427)0/10
Badges
3Whale
$409,884 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#1,870,263$-2,225Vol: $596,741
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,598$-862Vol: $38,392
🎭 CULTURE#12,823$240Vol: $11,468
💻 TECH#4,589$165Vol: $7,680
₿ CRYPTO#1,349,529$-32Vol: $7,489
📈 ECONOMICS#4,640$524Vol: $4,998
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,232
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,229,588
Total Redeem
$10,397
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2749
total markets
Trades
3974B / 1044S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~472d
Periods
#2Today
$253
Vol: $1,690
Week
$253
Vol: $21,526
Month
$4,110
Vol: $167,671
All Time
$1,232
Vol: $1,229,588
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
1400W / 1342L events
Realized PnL
$-2,453
Win Rate
51%
1400W / 1342L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$110
Avg Loss
$-111
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,585 (7.576798418166622% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15,151
Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025?$1,891
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?$1,543
Valorant: PRX vs Team Heretics $840
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$818
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports$803
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic $800
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha$800
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$757
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz$738
Top Losers
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?$-4,061
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)$-2,115
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?$-2,000
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$-1,594
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$-1,346
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$-1,123
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-1,116
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$-1,086
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. G2$-1,010
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$-1,000
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.018
Sortino
0.022
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
5.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 964s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal4.3 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.85
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)44.5%
High (>55c)52.8%
Sessions
#127/19/2026, 6:46:25 PM2 trades$7,0430 min
8/29/2025, 7:05:15 PM3 trades$4,8395 min
8/29/2025, 5:40:17 PM1 trades$4,3000 min
2/17/2026, 9:08:49 PM1 trades$3,2940 min
2/17/2026, 8:01:43 PM3 trades$2,7904 min
10/5/2025, 3:29:27 AM3 trades$2,5421 min
6/12/2026, 7:37:57 PM3 trades$2,4063 min
8/29/2025, 9:29:03 PM2 trades$2,1691 min
7/11/2025, 1:55:30 AM2 trades$1,9510 min
7/19/2026, 7:37:57 PM4 trades$1,9000 min
1/17/2026, 8:25:10 AM7 trades$1,8307 min
8/15/2025, 1:56:00 PM4 trades$1,8242 min
7/12/2025, 12:46:52 AM1 trades$1,8100 min
1/23/2025, 7:30:19 AM2 trades$1,7952 min
7/17/2026, 2:16:43 PM7 trades$1,6832 min
7/10/2025, 1:16:14 PM4 trades$1,6430 min
6/12/2026, 6:23:13 PM9 trades$1,6174 min
6/12/2026, 6:59:51 PM31 trades$1,58917 min
8/13/2025, 8:12:47 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
3/27/2026, 4:34:39 PM8 trades$1,4494 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
05-01
08-01
10-20
01-13
04-03
08-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 122 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.7 / M44.5 / H52.8