TiredOwl

@TiredOwl

#3,012,25727

0xfd526e2248e1f8d93e7283481cfd3cf318a6aa25

~36d· 144 markets · 556 tradesVol: $227,7982026-08-02 08:56:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (71/144)9.7/20
0.87x (win $23,483 / loss $26,851)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6640/15
Sortino -1.8770/10
$-0.0773 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 361 (144 markets)10/10
19/35 profitable days (54%)6.1/10
Max DD 1710% of peak ($6,235 / $365)0/10

Badges

3
High Roller
$1,038/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#49,394$651Vol: $183,172

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,609
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$227,798
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
144
total markets
Trades
229B / 327S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$607
Vol: $1,662
Week
$296
Vol: $1,662
Month
$1,061
Vol: $7,418
All Time
$-2,609
Vol: $227,798

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
71W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$-2,609
Win Rate
49%
71W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$331
Avg Loss
$-407

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,806 (1.4586563852170948% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner$1,616
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$1,247
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$943
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5$799
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals$786
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$773
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$688
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5$683
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins$520
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?$520

Top Losers

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-2,500
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants$-1,717
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-1,500
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers$-1,500
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)$-1,347
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A$-1,200
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-1,000
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$-1,000
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$-775
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B$-500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
357
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.077
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
28.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
42.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2550s — normal for humanCV 2.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active3.4 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.86
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)28.4%
High (>55c)69%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 1:55:12 PM6 trades$12,5630 min
7/22/2026, 4:59:04 PM9 trades$2,5442 min
7/27/2026, 11:26:09 PM24 trades$2,3402 min
7/20/2026, 8:23:30 PM11 trades$2,1382 min
7/15/2026, 12:37:13 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/25/2026, 4:57:01 PM8 trades$1,8541 min
6/24/2026, 6:18:52 AM11 trades$1,8482 min
7/9/2026, 1:01:04 AM9 trades$1,7680 min
6/22/2026, 4:13:50 PM15 trades$1,7403 min
6/25/2026, 3:53:01 PM2 trades$1,4420 min
7/17/2026, 12:29:22 PM4 trades$1,4290 min
7/17/2026, 12:49:03 PM2 trades$1,3210 min
7/20/2026, 2:50:21 PM2 trades$1,1360 min
7/15/2026, 11:43:49 AM2 trades$1,1320 min
7/30/2026, 1:22:14 AM2 trades$1,0710 min
7/23/2026, 9:28:19 PM4 trades$1,0290 min
7/31/2026, 4:56:38 PM6 trades$1,0250 min
6/25/2026, 2:51:16 AM7 trades$1,0090 min
7/26/2026, 3:57:07 PM14 trades$1,0022 min
6/25/2026, 3:14:50 AM29 trades$9818 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-26
07-03
07-11
07-17
07-23
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M28.4 / H69