Polydata

@cookedquail

#12,77283

0xff06e8c95b984f236a08be2c4b9909be306c2f60

~50d· 51 markets · 930 tradesVol: $228,3422026-07-31 12:38:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (17/28)15.4/20
4.01x (win $5,778 / loss $1,439)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.10215/15
Sortino 20.94010/10
$+0.0613 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 1111 (28 markets)6.9/10
14/22 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($1,102 / $4,374)9/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+11,557
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.4 entries/market
Whale
$70,792 invested
Consistent
14/22 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
📈 ECONOMICS#1,297$3,737Vol: $86,911
🏛️ POLITICS#5,471$6,161Vol: $79,175
SPORTS#29,206$1,464Vol: $52,358
💰 FINANCE#12,703$195Vol: $9,898

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,557
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$228,342
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
607B / 323S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$155
Vol: $3,525
Week
$967
Vol: $70,051
Month
$8,823
Vol: $151,578
All Time
$11,557
Vol: $228,342

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
17W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$11,557
Win Rate
61%
17W / 11L
Profit Factor
4.01x
Avg Win
$340
Avg Loss
$-206

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,278 (0.19714408829912053% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$828
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$733
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$717
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$691
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$634
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$512
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$329
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$322
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$260
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?$238

Top Losers

Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?$-712
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$-407
Will Valentin Paret-Peintre be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$-177
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$-80
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-38
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-25
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.466
Sortino
0.728
HHI
223
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.139
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
29.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 194s — normal for humanCV 3.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.39
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)74.8%
Mid (20-55c)9.4%
High (>55c)15.8%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 6:45:02 PM26 trades$12,4102 min
5/4/2026, 12:10:38 PM5 trades$6,6261 min
7/8/2026, 1:12:16 AM13 trades$5,0868 min
7/12/2026, 12:17:38 AM2 trades$4,6800 min
7/8/2026, 12:22:16 AM7 trades$4,4152 min
7/6/2026, 4:07:55 AM1 trades$4,1750 min
6/28/2026, 4:46:50 AM14 trades$4,0260 min
6/5/2026, 1:12:43 PM17 trades$3,7745 min
5/21/2026, 10:44:31 AM11 trades$3,3641 min
7/13/2026, 2:13:44 AM1 trades$3,2980 min
6/7/2026, 1:22:04 AM5 trades$3,2931 min
7/24/2026, 12:27:16 PM20 trades$3,2556 min
6/2/2026, 12:54:50 PM4 trades$3,0930 min
7/16/2026, 11:52:08 PM9 trades$2,8670 min
4/27/2026, 10:35:16 PM8 trades$2,8470 min
7/8/2026, 12:40:19 AM5 trades$2,8060 min
5/19/2026, 7:57:20 PM8 trades$2,4141 min
4/16/2026, 8:59:44 PM10 trades$2,3894 min
7/11/2026, 3:11:52 PM7 trades$2,3240 min
7/14/2026, 11:37:02 PM4 trades$2,0590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
05-04
06-02
06-26
07-01
07-12
07-23
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.39/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74.8 / M9.4 / H15.8