@0xffd3E7…6910

#2,844,4920

0xffd3e7102ca12796bead452b06117e2100d27c75

~35d· 35 markets · 284 tradesVol: $70,1582026-08-04 20:37:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (7/26)0/20
0.46x (win $977 / loss $2,114)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8330/15
Sortino -3.2040/10
$-0.0272 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6688 (26 markets)0/10
4/16 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 286% of peak ($1,747 / $611)0/10

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#3,543$1,668Vol: $33,577
CRYPTO#1,650,441$-2,128Vol: $19,348
🏛️ POLITICS#1,413,306$-28Vol: $17,020
📈 ECONOMICS#61,630$4Vol: $195
💻 TECH#202,598$-2Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-486
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,158
Total Redeem
$23
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
121B / 163S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$39
Vol: $0
Week
$39
Vol: $1,111
Month
$218
Vol: $1,111
All Time
$-486
Vol: $70,158

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
7W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-478
Win Rate
27%
7W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$140
Avg Loss
$-117

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $977 (2.0451214405360134% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$939
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?$37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$0
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$0
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?$0
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$0
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?$0

Top Losers

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-1,265
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-400
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$-305
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$-120
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 12?$-6
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 14?$-3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12?$-3
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)$-2
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-2
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.144
Sortino
-0.143
HHI
419
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.2%
Top-5 markets
26.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 650s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)22.3%
High (>55c)60.3%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 11:10:09 AM24 trades$9,2755 min
4/6/2026, 2:06:07 AM25 trades$8,7590 min
4/14/2026, 1:02:37 PM8 trades$6,8920 min
4/18/2026, 2:09:56 AM12 trades$4,0113 min
4/6/2026, 12:16:43 PM16 trades$3,6740 min
7/18/2026, 6:48:57 AM13 trades$3,5824 min
4/8/2026, 12:25:51 AM24 trades$2,9640 min
4/5/2026, 5:01:49 AM13 trades$2,5750 min
4/20/2026, 10:35:54 AM4 trades$2,0400 min
4/14/2026, 12:51:47 PM2 trades$1,9970 min
4/19/2026, 4:51:30 AM4 trades$1,9770 min
6/20/2026, 12:14:52 AM11 trades$1,9011 min
6/19/2026, 10:26:23 PM9 trades$1,4631 min
4/16/2026, 12:06:48 PM2 trades$1,3970 min
4/21/2026, 10:33:52 AM2 trades$1,3080 min
4/18/2026, 2:03:12 AM2 trades$1,2030 min
4/19/2026, 1:50:46 PM2 trades$1,1950 min
8/2/2026, 1:36:12 AM6 trades$1,1570 min
6/19/2026, 10:46:25 PM6 trades$9030 min
4/19/2026, 2:16:20 PM2 trades$8920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
11-04
11-08
11-14
11-23
03-02
04-06
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 83 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.4 / M22.3 / H60.3