@10000Bets

77

0x87684f29d70994464c6f533bc52eb693b4f4dd9b

~278d· 638 markets · 5089 trades2026-08-02 09:48:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (501/606)20/20
1.34x (win $181,936 / loss $135,327)6.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.66015/15
Sortino 2.24710/10
$+0.0334 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 63 (606 markets)10/10
154/194 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($24,192 / $46,859)3.7/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+38,778
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Whale
$1,394,580 invested
Consistent
154/194 profitable days
High Roller
$1,934/day
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,778
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,394,580
Total Redeem
$3,267
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
638
total markets
Trades
3382B / 1707S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~278d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
501W / 105L events
Realized PnL
$38,778
Win Rate
83%
501W / 105L
Profit Factor
1.34x
Avg Win
$363
Avg Loss
$-1,538

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,096 (0.6729508351025983% of PnL)

Top Winners

Penguins vs. Kings$11,736
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals$8,739
Canucks vs. Blackhawks$5,620
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$5,455
Capitals vs. Sharks$4,637
Cardinals vs. Colts$4,453
Stars vs. Avalanche$4,080
Spread: Georgia (-43.5)$3,233
Clippers vs. Lakers$3,161
Penguins vs. Wild$3,000

Top Losers

Islanders vs. Devils$-15,446
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?$-11,586
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$-10,118
Blue Jackets vs. Wild$-8,558
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-7,979
Rangers vs. Oilers$-5,773
Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?$-5,672
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs$-4,499
Bills vs. Texans$-3,830
Duke vs. Virginia$-3,780

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.087
Sortino
0.067
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
6.3%
Half-Kelly
3.1%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 2.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)8.1%
High (>55c)85.4%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2025, 2:19:11 PM23 trades$27,47822 min
2/24/2025, 11:01:26 PM10 trades$21,7046 min
10/12/2025, 9:44:01 PM1 trades$20,3130 min
4/30/2025, 8:41:04 PM4 trades$19,3412 min
10/12/2025, 2:41:44 PM3 trades$18,4991 min
6/17/2026, 12:48:17 AM40 trades$17,6221 min
5/3/2026, 12:09:32 AM24 trades$16,7112 min
11/11/2025, 12:51:52 AM4 trades$16,1939 min
1/31/2026, 5:57:46 PM19 trades$15,95716 min
6/14/2026, 11:49:04 PM36 trades$15,2276 min
3/5/2026, 5:09:45 PM9 trades$15,13718 min
3/19/2026, 1:32:27 PM16 trades$15,03017 min
6/8/2026, 8:17:46 PM10 trades$14,7425 min
10/12/2025, 2:02:02 AM1 trades$13,8730 min
6/10/2026, 8:08:10 PM26 trades$13,8439 min
3/26/2026, 9:59:17 AM8 trades$13,5578 min
10/25/2025, 5:51:09 PM23 trades$13,42326 min
11/12/2025, 7:25:22 PM1 trades$12,9000 min
10/25/2025, 2:30:33 AM26 trades$12,6796 min
10/28/2025, 4:01:25 PM8 trades$11,79110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-12
02-28
10-16
11-21
03-21
05-25
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M8.1 / H85.4