@11211

#211,40830

0xd1048db0b5e3335758e862a3d78f892c458a3d7f

~50d· 35 markets · 364 tradesVol: $36,0222026-10-04 13:56:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (26/34)20/20
0.25x (win $131 / loss $530)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9550/15
Sortino -2.9400/10
$-0.1030 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3805 (34 markets)0/10
24/30 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 488% of peak ($502 / $103)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+119
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Consistent
24/30 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#18,224$50Vol: $20,233
🏛️ POLITICS#83,159$61Vol: $9,880
⚽ SPORTS#408,433$1Vol: $5,244
₿ CRYPTO#259,496$6Vol: $651
💰 FINANCE#120,289$2Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$119
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,022
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
51B / 313S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
26W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$119
Win Rate
76%
26W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $84 (0.7089193969510655% of PnL)

Top Winners

US recession in 2025?$46
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$26
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$12
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?$10
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$8
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$4
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$3
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?$3
Trump out as President by March 31?$3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$3

Top Losers

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-472
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-33
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-18
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-5
Pacers vs. Thunder$-1
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-1
Will Trump win West Virginia by the largest margin?$-0
Will Kamala Harris win Rhode Island by the largest margin?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.152
Sortino
-0.071
HHI
1273
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.1%
Top-5 markets
64.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.5m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
59% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)86.3%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2025, 5:13:04 AM1 trades$3,8640 min
6/14/2025, 9:00:15 PM1 trades$2,6420 min
6/15/2025, 2:38:51 AM1 trades$1,4600 min
6/15/2025, 12:02:31 AM1 trades$1,2170 min
10/10/2024, 10:35:43 AM1 trades$5020 min
10/13/2024, 3:29:03 AM1 trades$4870 min
10/18/2024, 6:00:41 AM2 trades$4860 min
10/19/2024, 7:53:28 AM1 trades$4780 min
6/14/2025, 8:42:15 PM165 trades$26013 min
6/14/2025, 11:18:43 PM1 trades$2150 min
4/29/2025, 4:03:28 AM1 trades$1470 min
6/14/2025, 11:38:33 PM2 trades$1343 min
2/23/2025, 5:05:10 PM1 trades$1270 min
2/24/2025, 3:03:50 PM2 trades$1270 min
5/31/2026, 11:59:30 AM1 trades$1260 min
3/18/2026, 12:52:15 PM1 trades$1250 min
3/18/2026, 1:06:31 PM1 trades$1250 min
2/26/2026, 1:09:04 PM1 trades$1230 min
2/5/2025, 2:45:15 PM1 trades$1170 min
1/15/2025, 9:37:15 AM1 trades$1160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
12-12
01-19
05-08
09-30
01-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
86% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.7 / M0 / H86.3