@2049natasha

#389,88848

0x2a4f13b000964eb991389a348e1696d5ebf5f2c8

~87d· 115 markets · 492 tradesVol: $71,4822026-10-08 02:27:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (19/78)0/20
1.84x (win $102 / loss $56)13/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.34715/15
Sortino 10.46410/10
$+0.0011 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 203 (78 markets)10/10
15/52 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 91% of peak ($51 / $57)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+23
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#176,494$42Vol: $35,099
🏛️ POLITICS#1,329,734$-13Vol: $22,920
🎭 CULTURE#623,590$-4Vol: $7,022
💰 FINANCE#495,798$-2Vol: $3,277
📈 ECONOMICS#464,792$-1Vol: $2,472
₿ CRYPTO#512,107$0Vol: $692

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,482
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
239B / 253S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$23
Vol: $71,482

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
17W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$23
Win Rate
23%
17W / 58L
Profit Factor
1.84x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $52 (2.300265721877768% of PnL)

Top Winners

Warriors vs. Rockets$20
Raptors vs. Timberwolves$17
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$14
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers$11
Lakers vs. Nuggets$10
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3

Top Losers

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-2
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-2
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$-2
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$-2
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.122
Sortino
0.691
HHI
367
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
8.1%
Half-Kelly
4.0%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
27.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 15742s — normal for humanCV 0.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)76.6%

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 9:04:17 AM2 trades$6900 min
3/25/2026, 3:43:59 PM2 trades$6890 min
3/16/2026, 5:26:17 PM2 trades$6790 min
3/28/2026, 11:39:22 PM2 trades$6770 min
4/13/2026, 8:23:09 PM4 trades$6540 min
3/17/2026, 8:02:27 PM2 trades$6460 min
4/12/2026, 4:44:17 PM4 trades$6440 min
3/14/2026, 12:24:39 PM2 trades$6410 min
3/27/2026, 8:05:43 AM2 trades$6370 min
3/24/2026, 12:45:51 PM2 trades$6210 min
3/27/2026, 2:44:37 PM2 trades$6150 min
3/14/2026, 6:54:53 PM2 trades$6140 min
3/27/2026, 11:07:07 PM2 trades$6010 min
3/17/2026, 12:06:49 AM2 trades$6010 min
3/29/2026, 4:49:18 AM2 trades$5981 min
3/14/2026, 5:54:49 AM2 trades$5970 min
4/18/2026, 8:11:28 PM4 trades$5880 min
5/2/2026, 8:43:08 AM4 trades$5780 min
4/17/2026, 10:15:46 AM4 trades$5710 min
3/18/2026, 4:22:55 PM2 trades$5670 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-05
03-18
03-29
04-06
04-17
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23 / M0.4 / H76.6