Polydata
20YrsOfBoredom

@20YrsOfBoredom

#2,974,16037

0x1ecc91dbd13963efbaa305262a23164c68eb53a9

~505d· 1777 markets · 9569 tradesVol: $817,3462026-07-31 15:16:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (729/1717)6.2/20
1.08x (win $36,500 / loss $33,763)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3516.6/15
Sortino 0.6646.6/10
$+0.0106 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 100 (1717 markets)10/10
162/384 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 230% of peak ($6,725 / $2,918)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
Whale
$259,330 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#16,924$1,097Vol: $377,574
🎭 CULTURE#2,545$2,628Vol: $276,856
SPORTS#1,871,545$-6,125Vol: $126,496
📢 MENTIONS#2,164$508Vol: $12,381
📈 ECONOMICS#668,528$-195Vol: $6,977
💻 TECH#5,741$107Vol: $4,641
CRYPTO#1,337,216$-34Vol: $4,452
💰 FINANCE#610,712$-37Vol: $1,754
🌤️ WEATHER#266,526$-28Vol: $820

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,675
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$817,346
Total Redeem
$2,867
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1777
total markets
Trades
7068B / 2501S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~505d

Periods

#2
Today
$-233
Vol: $50
Week
$-849
Vol: $6,921
Month
$-580
Vol: $150,971
All Time
$-1,675
Vol: $817,346

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
729W / 988L events
Realized PnL
$-1,668
Win Rate
42%
729W / 988L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,684 (5.205627588852722% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3,492
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,818
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$2,374
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,671
Will Trump say "unrealized" during California rally on October 12?$670
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$616
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$534
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$508
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?$483
Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?$480

Top Losers

Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$-2,298
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-880
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$-876
Will "F1" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$-685
Israel military response against Iran in October?$-594
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?$-576
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$-541
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-496
Kamala Harris solo interview before debate?$-406
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$-405

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.018
Sortino
0.029
HHI
56
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
18.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 354s — normal for humanCV 18.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.9%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)36.5%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 4:34:14 AM19 trades$109,2510 min
7/10/2026, 4:44:04 AM35 trades$28,78919 min
3/28/2026, 3:34:11 AM1 trades$12,0000 min
4/19/2026, 7:34:26 PM6 trades$8,8400 min
7/10/2026, 5:42:37 PM36 trades$5,0884 min
4/17/2026, 1:01:38 PM9 trades$4,2583 min
4/16/2026, 4:12:24 AM4 trades$4,0801 min
9/16/2025, 12:35:34 PM5 trades$3,7975 min
5/6/2026, 1:23:54 AM17 trades$3,7747 min
11/13/2024, 6:37:17 PM62 trades$3,22747 min
9/30/2025, 4:17:11 PM17 trades$3,02622 min
6/13/2026, 5:01:34 PM5 trades$2,0529 min
3/27/2026, 8:46:09 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
9/15/2024, 2:26:13 AM1 trades$1,9000 min
10/15/2024, 8:02:31 AM1 trades$1,7640 min
5/31/2026, 3:22:06 PM4 trades$1,6602 min
9/14/2024, 5:16:26 PM5 trades$1,6539 min
5/22/2026, 11:30:53 PM5 trades$1,5680 min
6/13/2026, 5:55:15 PM16 trades$1,54010 min
10/8/2025, 7:29:48 PM4 trades$1,3693 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-23
09-30
03-05
09-29
12-26
03-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 541 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L45.9 / M17.6 / H36.5