Polydata

@26dd8dd8

#2,893,28931

0x26dd8dd873a26eb19d3c55d2afe4b7a939c90249

~118d· 7715 markets · 3522 tradesVol: $1,675,0952026-06-24T23:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 0.12x0/15
HHI 7710/10
Profit Days 32%1/10

Summary

Trader 26dd8dd8 on Polymarket is a moderately active participant with 3,522 trades across 1,112 markets over 118 days. Despite a high total volume of $1.67 million, their net profit and loss stands at a negative $6,915.29, placing them at rank #2,893,289 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their Smart Score is below average at 31/100, and the portfolio value is relatively low at $318.31, indicating limited capital growth so far.

The trading style of 26dd8dd8 appears to be high-frequency and diversified, given the broad market exposure and number of trades. They maintain a moderate win rate of 56.4% but have a low profit factor of 0.12, suggesting that winning trades yield much smaller returns compared to losses. The Sharpe ratio of -0.65 implies negative risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of weather market trades or sell-offs points to a focus on other event categories and a buy-and-hold inclination, as reflected in the "Diamond Hands" badge.

Strengths for 26dd8dd8 include a consistent upward equity trend and a semi-automated trading approach (Bot Score 45/100), which may support steady activity and timely entries. However, the negative PnL, low profit factor, and below-average Smart Score highlight risks of inefficiency and potential overtrading. The trader’s contrarian and sniper badges suggest a unique approach, but the overall data points to challenges in converting volume and activity into sustainable profits on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Contrarian
52% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Whale
$67,028

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,742,054$-6,789Vol: $1,655,867
📈 ECONOMICS#548,334$-4Vol: $446
🏛️ POLITICS#1,321,055$-17Vol: $408
🎭 CULTURE#680,844$-11Vol: $46
CRYPTO#1,046,730$-7Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,915
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,675,095
Total Redeem
$16,275
Portfolio
$318
Predictions
7715
total markets
Trades
3510B / 12S
Daily Volume
$568
Account Age
~118d

Periods

#2
Today
$74
Vol: $345
Week
$-18
Vol: $5,231
Month
$203
Vol: $33,118
All Time
$-6,915
Vol: $1,675,095

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
233W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$51,266
Win Rate
56%
444W / 343L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-154

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$602
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$535
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$373
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$255
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$183
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$150
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score$148
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$126
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Ma$124
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5$120

Top Losers

Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-3,692
Knicks vs. 76ers$-2,026
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$-1,225
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$-985
Hurricanes vs. Flyers$-937
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-880
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5$-842
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)$-686
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)$-612
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$-609

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.652
Sortino
-0.655
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.741
Kelly %
1.3%
Half-Kelly
0.6%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
13.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.3
Active
Markets / Day
12.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 228s — typical for humanSize CV 3.36 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness38 trades/day — suspiciously high12 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
530 entries
<=2
701 entries
<=5
932 entries
<=10
1058 entries
<=20
1104 entries
<=50
1112 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)60.9%
High (>55c)35.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.8%

Atlanta$78
Dallas$5
London$1
Sao Paulo$-100
Beijing$-106
Chongqing$-109
San Francisco$-193
Chicago$-253
Toronto$-298
Seattle$-315
Los Angeles$-337
Houston$-407
Miami$-638
Paris$-1,345
Madrid$-2,023
Other$-40,695

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
919

Single bracket

<=1
794 brackets
<=2
879 brackets
<=3
901 brackets
<=4
911 brackets
<=5
917 brackets
<=8
919 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/25/2026, 1:32:57 AM1 trades$30 min
3/25/2026, 2:36:23 AM1 trades$240 min
3/25/2026, 4:25:49 AM1 trades$300 min
3/25/2026, 4:38:17 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/25/2026, 7:29:07 AM1 trades$110 min
3/25/2026, 8:58:25 AM1 trades$570 min
3/25/2026, 9:25:21 AM3 trades$2141 min
3/25/2026, 9:37:49 AM1 trades$20 min
3/25/2026, 10:53:59 AM2 trades$113 min
3/25/2026, 11:37:47 AM3 trades$50 min
3/25/2026, 11:46:03 AM7 trades$942 min
3/25/2026, 12:38:35 PM1 trades$10 min
3/25/2026, 1:26:53 PM1 trades$340 min
3/25/2026, 5:12:49 PM3 trades$1002 min
3/25/2026, 5:23:53 PM1 trades$220 min
3/25/2026, 5:39:21 PM2 trades$782 min
3/25/2026, 7:56:41 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/25/2026, 9:25:21 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/26/2026, 1:33:11 AM4 trades$1260 min
3/26/2026, 1:48:19 AM6 trades$1217 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-05
04-16
05-09
05-29
06-09
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event