@2Ivan

#3,048,4525

0x3ce6f6fa5264dcbab1e65b730db588ee9d4cba88

~25d· 22 markets · 89 tradesVol: $52,9392026-08-24 17:05:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (7/22)0.9/20
0.37x (win $1,391 / loss $3,742)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3590/15
Sortino -5.4690/10
$-0.2546 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1636 (22 markets)4.3/10
6/20 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 685% of peak ($2,951 / $431)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
74% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,649,828$-1,225Vol: $32,226
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,966$-878Vol: $13,710
🎭 CULTURE#800,445$-162Vol: $3,375
⚽ SPORTS#203,743$30Vol: $1,213

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,558
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,939
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
43B / 46S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Month
$-322
Vol: $2,236
All Time
$-2,558
Vol: $52,939

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
7W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-2,558
Win Rate
32%
7W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$199
Avg Loss
$-288

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $964 (0.37684552870952737% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana above $130 on March 21?$430
Solana above $145 on March 7?$365
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$169
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?$140
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$138
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$75
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$74

Top Losers

Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?$-1,470
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$-878
Solana above $145 on March 14?$-580
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-157
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-122
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$-118
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$-106
Dogecoin above $0.20 on March 14?$-100
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$-78
Will Fury beat Usyk?$-64

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.273
Sortino
-0.263
HHI
1699
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.255
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.4%
Top-5 markets
80.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
53.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3220s — normal for humanCV 1.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.05
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)60.5%
High (>55c)25.6%

Sessions

#12
3/19/2025, 12:14:48 PM2 trades$3,2033 min
3/15/2025, 5:26:48 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/7/2025, 9:47:37 AM1 trades$9230 min
3/4/2025, 4:13:05 AM1 trades$7570 min
3/18/2025, 5:45:11 AM1 trades$7000 min
3/7/2025, 5:15:55 AM1 trades$6390 min
3/6/2025, 11:20:01 PM1 trades$6390 min
3/15/2025, 7:58:52 AM1 trades$6230 min
3/7/2025, 12:13:29 PM2 trades$6211 min
3/18/2025, 5:26:57 AM1 trades$5980 min
3/8/2025, 3:24:33 AM1 trades$5800 min
3/18/2025, 5:35:51 AM1 trades$5730 min
3/15/2025, 6:16:16 AM1 trades$5000 min
3/6/2025, 12:35:37 PM1 trades$4990 min
3/2/2025, 12:01:59 PM1 trades$4840 min
3/18/2025, 5:50:15 AM1 trades$4710 min
3/20/2025, 8:44:37 AM1 trades$4100 min
3/20/2025, 10:29:43 AM1 trades$2780 min
7/3/2026, 9:58:01 AM7 trades$2760 min
7/7/2026, 3:31:10 PM3 trades$2740 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
03-07
03-18
06-24
07-03
07-09
08-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 531 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.05/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14 / M60.5 / H25.6