@2Sherlock
#33,625740xbd81954a4ebce3a843feb3fc6ebf439cf1c6006d
~16d· 22 markets · 149 tradesVol: $107,9032026-10-08 02:56:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (11/20)12.5/20
2.34x (win $3,346 / loss $1,431)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.69515/15
Sortino 80.02510/10
$+0.0303 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 1916 (20 markets)2.9/10
7/12 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($178 / $1,981)10/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+1,137
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$63,291 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Categories
4₿ CRYPTO#30,024$970Vol: $36,803
🏛️ POLITICS#27,833$492Vol: $34,492
💻 TECH#994$1,778Vol: $14,285
🎭 CULTURE#785,518$-86Vol: $765
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,509
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$107,903
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
96B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Today
$-134
Vol: $3,625
Week
$2,458
Vol: $11,877
Month
$2,339
Vol: $20,481
All Time
$3,509
Vol: $107,903
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
11W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$1,137
Win Rate
55%
11W / 9L
Profit Factor
2.34x
Avg Win
$304
Avg Loss
$-179
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,079 (2.7065944596341% of PnL)
Top Winners
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$2,426
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$517
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$136
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$86
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$81
Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 17, 2026?$49
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$33
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?$8
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?$7
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$2
Top Losers
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$-862
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$-193
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?$-129
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$-100
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?$-66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-44
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-23
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$-14
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.386
Sortino
5.457
HHI
5032
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
50.3%
Top-5 markets
142%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 356s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.65
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)63.5%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 7:44:04 PM2 trades$20,3400 min
4/1/2026, 8:23:21 PM2 trades$18,9320 min
7/1/2026, 7:34:28 PM10 trades$10,5477 min
6/3/2026, 10:17:01 PM1 trades$10,0610 min
6/13/2026, 3:09:33 PM2 trades$7,9841 min
6/12/2026, 8:24:49 PM5 trades$5,8300 min
6/13/2026, 1:22:46 PM1 trades$3,9760 min
6/13/2026, 1:37:18 PM1 trades$3,8950 min
7/8/2026, 6:03:19 PM3 trades$3,5850 min
4/1/2026, 1:25:55 AM1 trades$1,4440 min
3/31/2026, 2:28:37 PM12 trades$1,4103 min
3/31/2026, 11:46:25 AM5 trades$1,3107 min
3/31/2026, 11:56:29 PM9 trades$1,1098 min
3/29/2026, 11:52:54 PM2 trades$8604 min
3/31/2026, 11:41:47 PM5 trades$7251 min
3/31/2026, 6:15:53 PM1 trades$6600 min
3/31/2026, 12:04:19 PM3 trades$6447 min
3/30/2026, 3:43:43 PM4 trades$6044 min
3/29/2026, 10:16:32 PM4 trades$5565 min
3/31/2026, 2:38:57 PM9 trades$5335 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
03-31
06-03
06-13
07-01
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.5 / M22.9 / H63.5