Polydata

@2e6c80df

#2,880,35630

0x2e6c80dfdcc99f76f76c91a21d74a8f9a00ee09c

~124d· 10086 markets · 4357 tradesVol: $1,617,5482026-06-24T07:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 0.05x0/15
HHI 5210/10
Profit Days 26%0/10

Summary

Trader 2e6c80df is moderately active on Polymarket, with 4,357 trades across 1,092 markets over 124 days. Despite a substantial total volume of $1.6 million, their net PnL stands at negative $4,770.17, placing them at rank #2,880,356 globally. Their Smart Score is below average at 30/100, and the portfolio value is currently very low at $14.68, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability.

2e6c80df’s trading style appears diversified given the large number of markets engaged, but the data suggests a high-risk approach with a low profit factor of 0.05 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.77. The win rate is moderate at 55.2%, and the trader does not use sell orders, which may signal a buy-and-hold bias or limited exit strategies. Their Bot Score of 55/100 indicates a mix of automated and manual trading, while their badges hint at an aggressive, high-volume style often associated with sniping and holding positions.

The main strengths for 2e6c80df lie in their significant market activity and an upward equity trend, suggesting persistence and potential growth despite losses. However, the negative profitability metrics and minimal portfolio value raise concerns about risk management and sustainability. Without effective exits or risk controls, this trader’s approach on Polymarket may lead to continued drawdowns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
Whale
$173,040
High Roller
$1,395/day

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,728,969$-2,860Vol: $1,570,833
CRYPTO#819,174$-1Vol: $126
🎭 CULTURE#709,626$-20Vol: $85
🏛️ POLITICS#350,896$1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,770
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,617,548
Total Redeem
$20,949
Portfolio
$15
Predictions
10086
total markets
Trades
4340B / 17S
Daily Volume
$1,395
Account Age
~124d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $50
Week
$-134
Vol: $8,355
Month
$-990
Vol: $57,154
All Time
$-4,770
Vol: $1,617,548

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
233W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$133,216
Win Rate
55%
433W / 352L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-441

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$623
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$367
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$334
Spurs vs. Knicks$294
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5$261
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner$245
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$234
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$230
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$218
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)$174

Top Losers

Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-4,645
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)$-2,955
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)$-2,000
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$-1,923
Penguins vs. Flyers$-1,758
Bucharest Open: Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguet$-1,716
Hurricanes vs. Flyers$-1,641
Hawks vs. Cavaliers$-1,601
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev$-1,593
Sabres vs. Bruins$-1,590

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.774
Sortino
-0.781
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.874
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.4
Active
Markets / Day
12.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.1m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 174s — typical for humanSize CV 2.80 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness49 trades/day — suspiciously high12 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA
<=1
478 entries
<=2
659 entries
<=5
866 entries
<=10
995 entries
<=20
1066 entries
<=50
1092 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)59.7%
High (>55c)38.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.1%

Seattle$120
Toronto$43
Dallas$8
London$4
Chongqing$-172
Sao Paulo$-209
San Francisco$-244
Houston$-337
Miami$-528
Atlanta$-610
Chicago$-695
Paris$-695
Los Angeles$-1,026
Madrid$-7,092
Other$-135,747

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
888

Single bracket

<=1
751 brackets
<=2
847 brackets
<=3
869 brackets
<=4
884 brackets
<=5
885 brackets
<=8
888 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/28/2026, 2:51:55 AM1 trades$20 min
3/28/2026, 3:29:17 AM10 trades$47712 min
3/28/2026, 3:52:05 AM1 trades$100 min
3/28/2026, 3:57:49 AM4 trades$581 min
3/28/2026, 4:05:49 AM2 trades$100 min
3/28/2026, 4:10:55 AM3 trades$1504 min
3/28/2026, 4:20:57 AM1 trades$800 min
3/28/2026, 5:17:21 AM3 trades$833 min
3/28/2026, 6:09:27 AM2 trades$30 min
3/28/2026, 7:09:31 AM3 trades$1040 min
3/28/2026, 7:27:07 AM1 trades$10 min
3/28/2026, 8:56:09 AM2 trades$41 min
3/28/2026, 10:08:43 AM1 trades$70 min
3/28/2026, 10:30:49 AM1 trades$250 min
3/28/2026, 10:37:23 AM1 trades$230 min
3/28/2026, 10:45:33 AM1 trades$10 min
3/28/2026, 10:50:59 AM5 trades$273 min
3/28/2026, 10:59:55 AM8 trades$10614 min
3/28/2026, 11:19:47 AM1 trades$3460 min
3/28/2026, 11:29:25 AM2 trades$600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
04-08
04-20
05-01
05-29
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event