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@4880b7b4

#10,41235

0x4880b7b4c78526c1b0dceab2fbfd9c8888925626

~124d· 2714 markets · 3346 tradesVol: $624,2522026-06-05T14:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.03x0/15
HHI 13210/10
Profit Days 52%5/10

Summary

Trader 4880b7b4 is moderately active on Polymarket, with 3,346 trades across 1,195 markets over 124 days. They hold a global PnL rank of #10412 and have generated a net profit of $12,607.61. Despite a relatively high trading volume of $624,252, their portfolio value stands at $2,847.62, reflecting a cautious capital deployment. The trader’s overall Smart Score is below average at 35/100, suggesting room for improvement in efficiency or risk management.

4880b7b4 appears to employ a semi-automated trading style, as indicated by a Bot Score of 55/100, combining manual inputs with algorithmic assistance. Their win rate of 63.6% signals consistent success, though the low profit factor of 0.03 and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.51) point to thin margins and high volatility in returns. Notably, the trader avoids selling positions, maintaining a 0% sell rate, which may indicate a preference for holding or rolling contracts rather than quick flips.

The strengths of 4880b7b4 include an upward equity trend and solid win streaks, supported by badges like “Sniper” and “Diamond Hands,” highlighting precision and holding discipline. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and low profit factor suggest risk exposure that could undermine long-term stability. Additionally, the absence of weather market trades means their strategy might lack diversification, which could be a vulnerability in fluctuating market conditions on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+12,608
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
47 wins in a row
Whale
$246,911
High Roller
$1,991/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#3,849$12,624Vol: $623,622
🏛️ POLITICS#1,302,328$-17Vol: $630

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,608
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$624,252
Total Redeem
$24,110
Portfolio
$2,848
Predictions
2714
total markets
Trades
3343B / 3S
Daily Volume
$1,991
Account Age
~124d

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $3
Week
$20
Vol: $86
Month
$20
Vol: $86
All Time
$12,608
Vol: $624,252

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
223W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$114,156
Win Rate
64%
559W / 320L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-694

Top Winners

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets$1,157
Stars vs. Maple Leafs$725
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals$538
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?$428
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5$337
Hornets vs. Magic$165
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?$154
Heat vs. Hornets$150
Canucks vs. Ducks$116
Jets vs. Utah$108

Top Losers

Islanders vs. Sabres$-12,053
Devils vs. Hurricanes$-11,454
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers$-7,991
Pacers vs. Bulls$-7,930
Oilers vs. Utah$-5,399
Red Wings vs. Penguins$-4,844
Sharks vs. Predators$-4,725
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$-4,711
Hurricanes vs. Senators$-4,608
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers$-4,298

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.513
Sortino
-0.422
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.899
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.6
Active
Markets / Day
15.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.8m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 268s — typical for humanSize CV 5.52 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness43 trades/day — suspiciously high15 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
670 entries
<=2
860 entries
<=5
1054 entries
<=10
1137 entries
<=20
1185 entries
<=50
1195 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)46.5%
High (>55c)49.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.8%

Los Angeles$67
Toronto$53
Milan$49
San Francisco$40
Shanghai$31
Madrid$29
Seoul$15
Paris$15
Houston$2
Shenzhen$2
Wuhan$1
Islands win$0
São Paulo$0
Austin$0
Chongqing$-6
Beijing$-16
Chicago$-39
Seattle$-84

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
1058

Single bracket

<=1
938 brackets
<=2
1042 brackets
<=3
1057 brackets
<=4
1058 brackets
<=5
1058 brackets
<=8
1058 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/18/2026, 11:16:07 PM1 trades$30 min
3/18/2026, 11:22:59 PM1 trades$220 min
3/18/2026, 11:28:57 PM2 trades$2052 min
3/18/2026, 11:44:17 PM4 trades$1,5346 min
3/18/2026, 11:56:17 PM4 trades$3332 min
3/19/2026, 12:04:01 AM2 trades$1102 min
3/19/2026, 12:11:43 AM3 trades$754 min
3/19/2026, 12:21:51 AM2 trades$663 min
3/19/2026, 12:43:55 AM3 trades$455 min
3/19/2026, 12:57:55 AM2 trades$21 min
3/19/2026, 1:03:45 AM1 trades$750 min
3/19/2026, 1:14:29 AM3 trades$7010 min
3/19/2026, 1:34:15 AM1 trades$6960 min
3/19/2026, 1:42:53 AM4 trades$481 min
3/19/2026, 1:49:37 AM6 trades$2196 min
3/19/2026, 2:02:21 AM11 trades$19216 min
3/19/2026, 2:26:41 AM5 trades$246 min
3/19/2026, 2:40:03 AM13 trades$55416 min
3/19/2026, 3:09:53 AM1 trades$10 min
3/19/2026, 3:36:27 AM8 trades$8313 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
03-30
04-10
04-21
05-09
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event