4x4eq12

@4x4eq12

#2,924,43210

0x8e74eb7e743b1f928279d6e68c7a05d76e7654e7

~64d· 81 markets · 403 tradesVol: $239,8692026-08-27 11:24:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (18/76)0/20
0.46x (win $786 / loss $1,711)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.8650/15
Sortino -8.0680/10
$-0.2021 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 292 (76 markets)10/10
11/41 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($931 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#132,340$21Vol: $183,864
💻 TECH#259,533$-200Vol: $27,307
💰 FINANCE#653,239$-335Vol: $24,638
₿ CRYPTO#1,529,037$-140Vol: $1,650
🎭 CULTURE#757,450$-36Vol: $1,482
🌤️ WEATHER#13,282$32Vol: $520
📢 MENTIONS#149,418$-25Vol: $348
📈 ECONOMICS#600,448$-9Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-693
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$239,869
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
293B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
18W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$-693
Win Rate
24%
18W / 58L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $447 (0.6449495896496517% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$222
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$123
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$102
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$57
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?$56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??$38
2025 September second hottest on record?$36
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?$30
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?$29
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$28

Top Losers

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $185 before 2026??$-121
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-103
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $190 before 2026??$-95
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?$-93
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?$-87
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$-86
US government shutdown by October 1?$-80
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$-68
US government shutdown in 2025?$-57
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$-56

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.355
Sortino
-0.555
HHI
182
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.245
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
20.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 900s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)67.6%
Mid (20-55c)26.3%
High (>55c)6.1%

Sessions

#12
2/12/2026, 5:51:19 PM4 trades$7536 min
7/18/2026, 9:32:30 AM14 trades$6841 min
3/15/2026, 3:13:53 PM2 trades$2122 min
10/1/2025, 2:29:23 PM5 trades$2117 min
11/22/2025, 2:13:09 PM5 trades$1969 min
10/8/2025, 5:03:44 AM3 trades$1932 min
12/14/2025, 2:28:33 AM2 trades$1911 min
12/14/2025, 1:05:01 AM3 trades$1883 min
10/10/2025, 7:56:28 AM3 trades$1610 min
10/21/2025, 6:08:03 PM1 trades$1580 min
11/1/2025, 9:52:23 AM2 trades$1503 min
10/6/2025, 2:51:39 PM4 trades$1376 min
10/5/2025, 6:56:03 PM1 trades$1240 min
11/5/2025, 4:08:09 AM3 trades$1244 min
10/8/2025, 7:34:38 PM4 trades$1245 min
9/22/2025, 12:23:36 AM2 trades$1200 min
10/20/2025, 10:58:59 PM3 trades$1161 min
11/14/2025, 7:42:00 PM2 trades$1101 min
10/16/2025, 12:16:31 AM1 trades$980 min
12/16/2025, 4:27:43 AM3 trades$941 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-16
10-05
10-22
11-03
11-13
11-27
12-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67.6 / M26.3 / H6.1