50-Pence

@50-Pence

#1,29770

0x9478e0b0db650ac66ca3a2c9f6ed68ebca4863f5

~247d· 584 markets · 27830 tradesVol: $21,283,9812026-09-21 19:36:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (340/578)14.4/20
1.38x (win $183,131 / loss $132,304)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.26315/15
Sortino 3.49210/10
$+0.0379 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 226 (578 markets)10/10
100/175 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($27,590 / $59,397)4.7/10

Badges

7
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 48.5 entries/market
Whale
$1,342,425 invested
High Roller
$1,771/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,625,660$-1,341Vol: $17,562,281
📈 ECONOMICS#38$159,482Vol: $1,569,900
SPORTS#1,857,416$-815Vol: $1,521,990
📢 MENTIONS#181,129$-3,838Vol: $397,068
🌤️ WEATHER#302,711$-3,573Vol: $112,417
🎭 CULTURE#819,631$-1,935Vol: $70,020
CRYPTO#35,531$669Vol: $20,261
💻 TECH#6,318$98Vol: $17,106
💰 FINANCE#74,967$5Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$148,974
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,283,981
Total Redeem
$2,228
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
584
total markets
Trades
18976B / 8854S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~247d

Periods

#2
Today
$-189
Vol: $21,480
Week
$44,668
Vol: $44,500
Month
$151,598
Vol: $1,006,887
All Time
$148,974
Vol: $21,283,981

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
340W / 238L events
Realized PnL
$-3,856
Win Rate
59%
340W / 238L
Profit Factor
1.38x
Avg Win
$539
Avg Loss
$-561

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $67,149 (17.414987810571088% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52,180
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$7,718
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?$7,251
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$5,787
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5,477
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?$4,970
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans$4,702
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,981
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,550
Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?$3,491

Top Losers

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$-8,537
2024 July hottest on record?$-6,758
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,740
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-5,725
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,380
Will Atletico Madrid beat Paris Saint-Germain?$-5,106
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-4,715
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$-3,743
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-02?$-3,273
Will Napoli win the Serie A?$-3,268

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.134
HHI
305
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
4.3%
Half-Kelly
2.1%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
33.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.4m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.0

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 6.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
48.49
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.5%
Mid (20-55c)22.5%
High (>55c)18.9%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 9:58:15 AM9 trades$40,08210 min
7/2/2026, 5:29:16 AM2 trades$24,1002 min
7/7/2026, 5:21:59 PM95 trades$22,9982 min
7/6/2026, 2:20:52 PM1 trades$22,2640 min
7/2/2026, 6:17:14 AM10 trades$20,88418 min
11/6/2024, 6:57:49 AM11 trades$20,29417 min
11/6/2024, 5:26:49 AM4 trades$19,9428 min
5/11/2025, 11:52:56 AM2 trades$16,7093 min
10/30/2024, 8:45:44 AM152 trades$15,55520 min
7/7/2026, 5:31:16 PM62 trades$13,9361 min
7/6/2026, 3:11:13 PM8 trades$13,7168 min
7/4/2025, 10:30:31 AM2 trades$11,7042 min
7/8/2026, 11:04:11 PM18 trades$11,6403 min
11/6/2024, 11:48:35 AM178 trades$11,407144 min
8/25/2024, 11:43:30 AM12 trades$11,39819 min
8/20/2026, 2:27:55 PM2 trades$10,8500 min
7/8/2026, 12:19:53 AM121 trades$10,23273 min
4/12/2025, 4:02:30 PM17 trades$9,99015 min
7/1/2025, 10:21:23 AM1 trades$9,9100 min
7/5/2025, 8:03:25 AM1 trades$9,6700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-26
08-28
10-02
11-12
02-06
11-15
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 48.49/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.5 / M22.5 / H18.9