Polydata

@65765757

#98893

0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23

~117d· 191 markets · 8588 tradesVol: $7,489,2032026-08-01 08:00:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (134/170)20/20
2.75x (win $695,371 / loss $253,046)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.97115/15
Sortino 8.03510/10
$+0.1154 per $1 invested5.8/10
HHI 338 (170 markets)10/10
55/71 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($158,887 / $465,650)7.2/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+206,001
DCA Master
Avg 39.8 entries/market
Whale
$3,831,603 invested
Consistent
55/71 profitable days
High Roller
$7,836/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#255$199,722Vol: $6,482,655
💰 FINANCE#657,143$-28,027Vol: $494,153
SPORTS#2,150$28,103Vol: $279,206
🎭 CULTURE#4,235$1,290Vol: $26,240
📈 ECONOMICS#642,104$-40Vol: $2,273

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$206,163
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,489,203
Total Redeem
$29,443
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
191
total markets
Trades
3177B / 5411S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~117d

Periods

#2
Today
$652
Vol: $10,014
Week
$-11,053
Vol: $253,916
Month
$652
Vol: $10,014
All Time
$206,163
Vol: $7,489,203

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
79%
134W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$206,001
Win Rate
79%
134W / 36L
Profit Factor
2.75x
Avg Win
$5,189
Avg Loss
$-7,668

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $274,108 (1.3306196191593063% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$112,909
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$93,908
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$67,292
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$55,212
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$53,293
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$40,436
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$37,704
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$22,368
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$18,948
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$17,966

Top Losers

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-107,373
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$-36,319
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-29,297
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-15,049
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$-13,794
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-9,967
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,848
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-6,651
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-6,408
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-3,614

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.206
Sortino
0.213
HHI
188
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.155
Kelly %
50.9%
Half-Kelly
25.4%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
24.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
42.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
46.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 2.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
39.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)13.4%
High (>55c)77%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 4:02:21 AM127 trades$187,8458 min
4/21/2026, 8:56:44 PM25 trades$156,9361 min
4/21/2026, 8:31:22 PM45 trades$138,5005 min
4/12/2026, 1:55:13 AM173 trades$110,31122 min
3/31/2026, 11:33:09 PM94 trades$110,28218 min
5/22/2026, 4:02:32 AM30 trades$109,4924 min
4/21/2026, 7:51:46 PM50 trades$109,1067 min
4/21/2026, 5:27:12 PM96 trades$108,6454 min
7/25/2026, 1:02:37 PM27 trades$88,4197 min
5/19/2026, 10:17:20 PM129 trades$85,86428 min
4/25/2026, 4:29:20 PM89 trades$85,2699 min
4/12/2026, 10:52:41 PM155 trades$82,07417 min
3/30/2026, 12:53:58 AM27 trades$80,45226 min
4/21/2026, 8:51:20 PM11 trades$79,2710 min
4/1/2026, 2:55:37 AM65 trades$76,96820 min
4/21/2026, 9:35:16 PM19 trades$75,9661 min
3/14/2026, 10:09:07 PM3 trades$74,9097 min
4/25/2026, 3:35:06 PM46 trades$73,09810 min
4/8/2026, 9:01:35 PM87 trades$72,0193 min
3/3/2026, 2:27:27 PM19 trades$68,68229 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
03-19
04-05
04-22
05-07
06-06
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 39.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M13.4 / H77