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@80986697

#21,61674

0x809866978e1b5b4bc4d2f24963427ed6aad75646

~87d· 7285 markets · 3661 tradesVol: $1,108,5592026-06-05T13:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 93%20/20
Profit Factor 0.06x0/15
Sharpe 0.76214/15
Sortino 15208.13310/10
HHI 4710/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 80986697 is moderately active on Polymarket, with 3,661 trades across 907 markets over 87 days. They hold a global PnL rank of #21,616 and have generated a net profit of $5,309.92 from a total volume exceeding $1.1 million. Their portfolio value remains relatively stable at $1,545.39, supported by a smart score of 74/100 indicating very good trading acumen.

This trader exhibits a balanced trading style with a win rate of 54.3% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.76, reflecting moderate risk-adjusted returns. Their profit factor of 0.06 suggests cautious position sizing or frequent small gains offset by occasional losses. They do not engage in weather markets and maintain a 0% sell percentage, indicating a buy-and-hold approach. The combination of a sniper badge and diamond hands suggests a preference for precise entries and patient exits.

80986697’s strengths include consistent profitability and a stable equity trend with zero max drawdown duration, signaling strong risk management. However, the low profit factor and semi-bot score imply some reliance on automated strategies that may limit adaptability. Overall, their disciplined, steady approach on Polymarket offers resilience but may cap upside potential during volatile market conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+5,310
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
37 wins in a row
Whale
$121,459
Consistent
59/61 days
High Roller
$1,396/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

5
SPORTS#7,817$5,299Vol: $1,103,241
🏛️ POLITICS#1,171,773$-7Vol: $5,030
📈 ECONOMICS#17,102$45Vol: $187
🎭 CULTURE#710,103$-22Vol: $93
CRYPTO#967,197$-4Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,310
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,108,559
Total Redeem
$18,923
Portfolio
$1,545
Predictions
7285
total markets
Trades
3659B / 2S
Daily Volume
$1,396
Account Age
~87d

Periods

#2
Today
$-396
Vol: $1,707
Week
$575
Vol: $24,552
Month
$575
Vol: $21,488
All Time
$5,310
Vol: $1,108,559

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
93%
241W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$103,584
Win Rate
54%
372W / 313L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-336

Top Winners

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels$466
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$321
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi$279
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5$226
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska$207
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya$204
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5$198
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5$173
Knicks vs. Spurs$171
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$162

Top Losers

Trail Blazers vs. Suns$-1,875
Oilers vs. Sharks$-1,754
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$-1,558
Canucks vs. Sharks$-1,515
Bulls vs. Wizards$-1,355
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev$-1,292
Heat vs. Hornets$-1,252
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhang$-1,194
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockx$-1,183
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva $-1,121

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.762
Sortino
inf
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.839
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
6.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.3
Very active
Markets / Day
14.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.3m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 112s — typical for humanSize CV 2.47 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness60 trades/day — mass trading15 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA
<=1
396 entries
<=2
561 entries
<=5
741 entries
<=10
831 entries
<=20
879 entries
<=50
905 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)44.9%
High (>55c)50.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 32.7%

Chongqing$4
Houston$3
Shenzhen$2
Chengdu$1
Singapore$1
Beijing$1
Shanghai$0
Wuhan$-2
Toronto$-77
Lucknow$-393
Paris$-430
Jinmen Hu FC win$-501
Chicago$-606
San Francisco$-843
São Paulo$-1,015
Miami$-1,068
Seattle$-1,142
Atlanta$-1,229

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
678

Single bracket

<=1
533 brackets
<=2
628 brackets
<=3
664 brackets
<=4
671 brackets
<=5
674 brackets
<=8
676 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 9:31:15 PM4 trades$3752 min
4/5/2026, 9:39:37 PM1 trades$150 min
4/5/2026, 10:05:17 PM5 trades$2753 min
4/5/2026, 10:16:53 PM1 trades$50 min
4/5/2026, 10:25:49 PM1 trades$90 min
4/7/2026, 12:21:13 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 3:20:33 AM1 trades$30 min
4/7/2026, 3:46:21 AM2 trades$41 min
4/7/2026, 3:52:43 AM2 trades$7824 min
4/7/2026, 10:51:15 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 11:17:41 AM1 trades$1090 min
4/7/2026, 11:27:59 AM1 trades$120 min
4/7/2026, 2:15:55 PM3 trades$2593 min
4/7/2026, 2:36:21 PM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 2:46:33 PM2 trades$31 min
4/7/2026, 2:52:41 PM2 trades$70 min
4/7/2026, 2:58:37 PM8 trades$3547 min
4/7/2026, 3:11:33 PM1 trades$870 min
4/7/2026, 3:24:47 PM2 trades$2892 min
4/7/2026, 3:38:51 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
04-15
04-25
05-07
05-19
06-06
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event