Polydata

@881112

#46470

0xd426adbc3c4461c86099c26221c877f20e42334a

~440d· 1173 markets · 53677 tradesVol: $17,256,7142026-07-31 15:26:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (381/1096)2.4/20
1.68x (win $1,198,724 / loss $712,999)11/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.41015/15
Sortino 7.87410/10
$+0.1835 per $1 invested9.2/10
HHI 85 (1096 markets)10/10
121/317 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($68,543 / $492,442)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+444,236
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
Whale
$2,646,587 invested
High Roller
$4,110/day
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#128$405,144Vol: $13,184,081
SPORTS#2,922$19,324Vol: $1,677,574
📢 MENTIONS#97$20,025Vol: $757,203
🎭 CULTURE#816,188$-21,864Vol: $680,539
📈 ECONOMICS#364$20,564Vol: $383,555
💰 FINANCE#656,523$-8,562Vol: $279,225
CRYPTO#13,615$3,361Vol: $178,782
🌤️ WEATHER#297,612$-1,910Vol: $39,122
💻 TECH#1,134$1,354Vol: $7,759

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$442,963
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,256,714
Total Redeem
$80,545
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1173
total markets
Trades
45970B / 7707S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~440d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,402
Vol: $40,119
Week
$190
Vol: $68,813
Month
$24,897
Vol: $1,097,530
All Time
$442,963
Vol: $17,256,714

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
35%
381W / 715L events
Realized PnL
$444,236
Win Rate
35%
381W / 715L
Profit Factor
1.68x
Avg Win
$3,146
Avg Loss
$-1,001

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $274,264 (0.6173839146281612% of PnL)

Top Winners

Government shutdown on Saturday?$110,184
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$103,194
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$60,887
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$42,824
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$42,194
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$42,081
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$37,864
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$32,138
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$25,867
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$25,068

Top Losers

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-22,568
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$-21,722
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-20,566
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-19,563
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-18,170
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-15,730
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$-15,475
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-13,599
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-12,786
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$-12,416

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.126
Sortino
0.377
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.198
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
9.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
83.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.3m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
24 min
Avg Trades / Session
55.9

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 4.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock83 trades/day — mass trading1.8 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
46.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.4%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)14.9%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 7:05:07 PM49 trades$63,78823 min
6/10/2026, 7:55:15 PM31 trades$53,43023 min
5/7/2026, 5:00:34 AM25 trades$52,4326 min
5/25/2026, 5:35:04 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
2/13/2026, 6:13:55 AM21 trades$47,53711 min
7/6/2026, 8:53:26 PM191 trades$39,64735 min
6/14/2026, 11:25:31 PM42 trades$37,53816 min
5/15/2026, 6:37:14 AM278 trades$37,096149 min
2/3/2026, 8:16:42 PM1 trades$36,8850 min
6/20/2026, 1:02:04 PM174 trades$35,08648 min
2/13/2026, 8:25:47 AM3 trades$29,9195 min
10/8/2025, 7:52:32 PM44 trades$28,70518 min
11/12/2025, 9:20:44 AM16 trades$28,31410 min
1/20/2025, 1:29:39 PM44 trades$27,49221 min
11/13/2025, 1:02:22 AM120 trades$27,33330 min
6/19/2026, 8:13:22 PM28 trades$27,2497 min
5/15/2026, 5:09:23 PM41 trades$27,05013 min
3/4/2026, 5:41:29 AM1 trades$26,7260 min
6/15/2026, 11:13:45 AM22 trades$26,4219 min
11/13/2025, 4:41:30 AM25 trades$26,0416 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
02-03
06-24
12-03
03-24
05-24
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 46.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.4 / M15.7 / H14.9