Polydata

@8daniel8

#3,057,07497

0x52870486f74fcd2fe707821b9aa8da0f6d8c3a16

~103d· 77 markets · 2500 tradesVol: $1,129,8562026-07-31 18:22:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (28/41)19.1/20
11.57x (win $155,409 / loss $13,434)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.10715/15
Sortino 100.68010/10
$+0.3342 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 536 (41 markets)9.8/10
14/23 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($7,031 / $144,407)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 26.3 entries/market
Whale
$424,875 invested
Consistent
14/23 profitable days
High Roller
$3,294/day
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#681,417$-10,555Vol: $776,625
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,351$-2,314Vol: $265,573
SPORTS#1,752,331$-244Vol: $87,657

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13,112
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,129,856
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
1929B / 571S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~103d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $83
Week
$-219
Vol: $68,738
Month
$-4,242
Vol: $376,790
All Time
$-13,112
Vol: $1,129,856

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
68%
28W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-13,112
Win Rate
68%
28W / 13L
Profit Factor
11.57x
Avg Win
$5,550
Avg Loss
$-1,033

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $86,692 (6.611411122389603% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$43,053
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$25,371
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$18,269
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$15,773
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$11,305
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8,801
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7,540
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5,528
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$3,993
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$3,491

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-3,718
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$-3,374
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?$-2,893
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?$-823
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in March?$-741
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$-478
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$-447
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?$-300
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?$-249
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$-245

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.364
Sortino
4.210
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.703
Kelly %
62.8%
Half-Kelly
31.4%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
17.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 409s — normal for humanCV 2.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)22.6%
High (>55c)74%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 3:55:35 PM30 trades$10,0397 min
3/26/2026, 1:50:17 PM4 trades$8,7351 min
3/26/2026, 4:20:27 PM1 trades$8,5740 min
7/13/2026, 4:30:08 PM44 trades$8,19022 min
5/20/2026, 9:17:07 AM5 trades$7,3579 min
4/7/2026, 9:55:51 PM9 trades$5,93913 min
4/5/2026, 7:30:37 AM1 trades$5,9310 min
3/27/2026, 7:33:49 PM1 trades$5,5780 min
6/11/2026, 2:54:22 PM2 trades$5,5461 min
6/8/2026, 10:40:37 PM2 trades$5,4280 min
4/9/2026, 5:29:57 PM13 trades$5,23813 min
4/9/2026, 4:55:25 PM13 trades$4,90519 min
3/27/2026, 6:34:17 PM11 trades$4,5635 min
3/26/2026, 7:08:41 PM3 trades$4,4069 min
7/28/2026, 3:38:04 AM12 trades$4,2388 min
6/9/2026, 3:17:24 PM3 trades$4,2321 min
7/23/2026, 8:56:33 PM6 trades$4,1319 min
6/25/2026, 10:01:41 PM4 trades$4,1250 min
7/14/2026, 12:28:52 PM55 trades$4,07620 min
4/9/2026, 5:20:07 PM5 trades$4,0222 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-08
04-19
05-27
06-04
06-07
06-11
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.4 / M22.6 / H74