AAAAron

@AAAAron

#2,793,41140

0x2cec24b1078c278e45248f4968a11950b4969ea2

~104d· 1674 markets · 3146 tradesVol: $271,8992026-09-29 00:15:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (1295/1674)20/20
0.25x (win $1,324 / loss $5,253)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7290/15
Sortino -4.6130/10
$-0.0474 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 13 (1674 markets)10/10
81/103 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 8150% of peak ($4,027 / $49)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Whale
$82,877 invested
Consistent
81/103 profitable days
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,569,986$-207Vol: $271,539
🌤️ WEATHER#238,476$-8Vol: $150
🏛️ POLITICS#140,145$18Vol: $94
📢 MENTIONS#125,842$-7Vol: $75
🎭 CULTURE#731,864$-20Vol: $41

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-225
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$271,899
Total Redeem
$85,179
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1674
total markets
Trades
2812B / 334S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~104d

Periods

#2
Month
$-316
Vol: $571
All Time
$-225
Vol: $271,899

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
1295W / 379L events
Realized PnL
$-225
Win Rate
77%
1295W / 379L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $82 (0.3647712127943136% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$23

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$-163
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$-140
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$-124
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-118
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-104
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-54
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-43
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-30
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.246
Sortino
-0.137
HHI
13
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 315s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal2.4 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.88
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)9.5%
High (>55c)89.5%

Sessions

#12
3/14/2026, 2:37:45 PM23 trades$62224 min
3/14/2026, 3:13:45 PM36 trades$60433 min
7/15/2026, 3:08:10 PM4 trades$4502 min
6/7/2026, 5:04:58 PM15 trades$4225 min
7/17/2026, 11:38:10 AM4 trades$4152 min
7/17/2026, 1:19:06 PM5 trades$4021 min
6/7/2026, 8:24:48 AM5 trades$3965 min
6/17/2026, 4:14:32 PM2 trades$3335 min
6/7/2026, 3:25:15 PM4 trades$3224 min
6/7/2026, 1:24:43 PM2 trades$3204 min
6/7/2026, 1:03:46 AM3 trades$3165 min
6/17/2026, 1:33:47 PM2 trades$3135 min
6/17/2026, 12:44:23 PM5 trades$3075 min
6/6/2026, 12:49:21 PM7 trades$3005 min
6/7/2026, 7:54:49 AM2 trades$3005 min
6/7/2026, 2:24:12 PM4 trades$2810 min
6/5/2026, 10:34:28 PM2 trades$2805 min
6/8/2026, 9:45:06 AM6 trades$2805 min
6/8/2026, 11:14:45 AM2 trades$2805 min
6/8/2026, 12:30:12 PM3 trades$2804 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
04-29
06-16
07-04
07-22
08-14
09-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M9.5 / H89.5