Polydata

@AJSV

#2,86916

0xad5353afe30c2da57709e2704ef3ccdcf67eef24

~272d· 8611 markets · 745700 tradesVol: $14,896,4482026-07-31 15:32:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (2257/7230)0.6/20
0.91x (win $22,709 / loss $24,938)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2890/15
Sortino -2.8920/10
$-0.0234 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (7230 markets)10/10
127/267 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 33962% of peak ($2,856 / $8)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+64,086
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
0% sells
Whale
$95,124 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,290$37,897Vol: $5,627,191
🎭 CULTURE#815,870$-11,456Vol: $2,308,534
CRYPTO#1,472$29,098Vol: $1,900,200
💰 FINANCE#876$6,386Vol: $1,230,112
SPORTS#1,875,900$-11,459Vol: $989,487
📢 MENTIONS#1,485$820Vol: $873,719
📈 ECONOMICS#1,014$5,407Vol: $812,078
🌤️ WEATHER#592$3,378Vol: $413,938
💻 TECH#600$2,950Vol: $401,146

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$63,627
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,896,448
Total Redeem
$38,483
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8611
total markets
Trades
14001B / 674S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~272d

Periods

#2
Today
$-796
Vol: $24,980
Week
$2,717
Vol: $190,082
Month
$6,735
Vol: $772,145
All Time
$63,627
Vol: $14,896,448

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
26%
11835W / 33589L events
Realized PnL
$64,086
Win Rate
26%
11835W / 33589L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $402 (0.006267520415941403% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$163
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?$122
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$116
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?$115
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $111
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?$110
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$108
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?$102
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?$98
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?$95

Top Losers

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$-237
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$-180
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-166
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$-134
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$-128
Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?$-115
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?$-107
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-100
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$-92
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$-89

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.120
Sortino
-0.159
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2598.3
Very active
Markets / Day
30.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.3m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 734s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2598 trades/day — automation30 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.71
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.3%
Mid (20-55c)33.4%
High (>55c)28.3%

Sessions

#12
1/22/2026, 2:06:06 PM9 trades$3064 min
4/28/2026, 12:29:34 PM37 trades$28952 min
1/22/2026, 12:34:42 PM5 trades$2795 min
1/23/2026, 7:14:38 PM6 trades$2494 min
1/24/2026, 4:53:36 PM6 trades$24612 min
1/24/2026, 5:05:40 AM3 trades$2453 min
1/23/2026, 9:39:52 PM33 trades$23651 min
1/24/2026, 3:10:32 PM8 trades$22618 min
1/23/2026, 12:35:26 PM3 trades$2144 min
6/12/2026, 1:48:21 PM7 trades$2122 min
1/24/2026, 4:35:00 AM1 trades$2040 min
1/22/2026, 10:43:52 AM2 trades$1853 min
1/26/2026, 2:01:19 PM7 trades$1784 min
2/6/2026, 6:32:57 PM12 trades$17710 min
1/30/2026, 12:19:34 AM3 trades$1700 min
1/26/2026, 12:09:07 PM2 trades$1690 min
1/22/2026, 10:12:42 AM2 trades$1682 min
1/23/2026, 2:42:48 AM3 trades$1621 min
6/12/2026, 2:25:22 PM5 trades$1602 min
1/25/2026, 4:29:32 AM3 trades$1494 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-18
12-02
01-15
03-09
04-27
06-10
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 216 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.71/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.3 / M33.4 / H28.3