Polydata

@Aged-Corporatism

#2,955,86699

0xb3ac590b266dc204036e65ee719afc2f85965018

~104d· 459 markets · 816 tradesVol: $942,0342026-07-07T08:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 85%20/20
Profit Factor 107.21x15/15
Sharpe 0.74314/15
Sortino 82.48510/10
EV $+522.98910/10
HHI 7110/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Aged-Corporatism is a highly active trader on Polymarket with 816 trades across 409 markets over 104 days. Despite maintaining a significant total volume of $942,034, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$5,044.45, placing them at rank #2,955,866 on the global leaderboard. Their Smart Score is an elite 99/100, indicating strong analytical capabilities and consistent engagement, although their portfolio value is presently zero.

The trading style of Aged-Corporatism is characterized by a contrarian and sniper approach, reflected in a high win rate of 82.6% and a profit factor of 23.53, suggesting efficient risk-reward management. They prefer a diverse range of markets rather than focusing on specific sectors like weather, with a sell percentage of 30%, indicating selective profit-taking. The Sharpe ratio of 0.74 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of drawdown duration implies disciplined risk control and quick recovery from losses.

Strengths for Aged-Corporatism include a strong equity growth trend, consistent performance badges, and a proven ability to maintain winning streaks in Polymarket. However, the negative net PnL and current zero portfolio value raise concerns about realized losses or recent portfolio liquidation. Additionally, the low bot score suggests manual trading, which may limit scalability but allows adaptive decision-making in volatile markets.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 85%
Contrarian
55% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
59 wins in a row
Whale
$250,657
Consistent
38/41 days
High Roller
$2,410/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
SPORTS#38,756$930Vol: $855,328
CRYPTO#1,482,987$-178Vol: $29,202

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,044
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$942,034
Total Redeem
$6,340
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
459
total markets
Trades
569B / 247S
Daily Volume
$2,410
Account Age
~104d

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
84%
196W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$110,037
Win Rate
83%
195W / 41L
Profit Factor
23.53x
Avg Win
$547
Avg Loss
$-111

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,683 (13.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5$6,011
ACF Fiorentina vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5$4,324
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseve$3,349
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)$3,233
CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5$3,192
Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5$2,722
Rams vs. Seahawks$2,346
Lakers vs. Cavaliers$1,953
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud$1,939
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5$1,903

Top Losers

Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanch$-1,303
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borges$-688
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$-484
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk$-353
Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogs$-341
Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichail$-321
Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs Kostovic$-114
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh$-102
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry$-91
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.743
Sortino
82.485
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$522.989
Kelly %
73.0%
Half-Kelly
36.5%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
10.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.7m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 720s — typical for humanSize CV 1.46 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.68 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
310 entries
<=2
376 entries
<=5
406 entries
<=10
409 entries
<=20
409 entries
<=50
409 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.3%
Mid (20-55c)59.2%
High (>55c)34.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 93.8%

Other$86,993
Madrid$12,883
Paris$936
Milan$537
São Paulo$457
Miami$368
Wellington$0
Los Angeles$0
Dallas$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
374

Single bracket

<=1
339 brackets
<=2
374 brackets
<=3
374 brackets
<=4
374 brackets
<=5
374 brackets
<=8
374 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/23/2026, 10:21:14 AM2 trades$1981 min
1/23/2026, 11:26:34 AM2 trades$913 min
1/23/2026, 1:07:32 PM1 trades$20 min
1/23/2026, 1:13:30 PM1 trades$1370 min
1/23/2026, 1:40:22 PM1 trades$1330 min
1/23/2026, 5:37:58 PM1 trades$450 min
1/23/2026, 7:49:08 PM1 trades$310 min
1/23/2026, 9:00:52 PM1 trades$10 min
1/23/2026, 10:29:04 PM1 trades$1080 min
1/23/2026, 10:41:48 PM5 trades$2973 min
1/24/2026, 1:02:06 AM1 trades$1800 min
1/24/2026, 3:09:22 AM1 trades$9480 min
1/24/2026, 3:40:52 AM1 trades$3000 min
1/24/2026, 7:41:14 AM1 trades$9510 min
1/24/2026, 11:19:58 AM2 trades$1191 min
1/24/2026, 11:52:06 AM1 trades$810 min
1/24/2026, 12:04:28 PM1 trades$6000 min
1/24/2026, 1:16:40 PM2 trades$1,4742 min
1/24/2026, 1:33:30 PM1 trades$4740 min
1/24/2026, 3:24:04 PM2 trades$1,3245 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
01-29
02-08
04-15
04-21
04-27
05-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event