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@Aged-Corporatism

#2,896,36699

0xb3ac590b266dc204036e65ee719afc2f85965018

~104d· 459 markets · 843 tradesVol: $942,0342026-06-27T03:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 85%20/20
Profit Factor 107.21x15/15
Sharpe 0.74314/15
Sortino 82.48510/10
EV $+522.98910/10
HHI 6810/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Aged-Corporatism is a highly active trader on Polymarket with 843 trades spread across 421 markets over 104 days. Despite holding an overall net loss of $5,044.45, the trader maintains an elite Smart Score of 99/100, reflecting strong analytical capabilities. Ranked #2,896,366 globally by PnL, Aged-Corporatism has generated nearly $942,034 in total volume, showing significant engagement in the platform’s markets.

This trader exhibits a strategic style focused on consistent, high-probability trades, boasting an 82.7% win rate and an impressive profit factor of 23.39. Aged-Corporatism avoids weather markets entirely and only sells 31% of positions, indicating a preference for holding winning positions longer. The Sharpe ratio of 0.74 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective risk management and quick recovery from any losses.

Aged-Corporatism’s strengths lie in consistency and precision, as demonstrated by badges like Sniper and Contrarian and an upward equity trend. However, the sizable net loss despite high volume and win rate may signal challenges in position sizing or market timing. The low Bot Score implies active human decision-making, which can be advantageous but also introduces emotional risk. Overall, Aged-Corporatism shows disciplined trading with room to optimize profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 85%
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
63 wins in a row
Whale
$257,532
Consistent
38/41 days
High Roller
$2,476/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
SPORTS#36,610$930Vol: $855,328
CRYPTO#1,465,878$-178Vol: $29,202

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,044
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$942,034
Total Redeem
$6,340
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
459
total markets
Trades
584B / 259S
Daily Volume
$2,476
Account Age
~104d

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
84%
196W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$110,037
Win Rate
83%
205W / 43L
Profit Factor
23.39x
Avg Win
$536
Avg Loss
$-109

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,683 (13% of PnL)

Top Winners

Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5$6,011
ACF Fiorentina vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5$4,324
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseve$3,349
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)$3,233
CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5$3,192
Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5$2,722
Rams vs. Seahawks$2,346
Lakers vs. Cavaliers$1,953
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud$1,939
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5$1,903

Top Losers

Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanch$-1,327
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borges$-723
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$-510
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk$-363
Brown Bears vs. Yale Bulldogs$-341
Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichail$-326
Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs Kostovic$-117
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh$-110
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry$-103
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?$-49

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.743
Sortino
82.485
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$522.989
Kelly %
73.9%
Half-Kelly
36.9%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.4m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 696s — typical for humanSize CV 1.44 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.68 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
320 entries
<=2
387 entries
<=5
418 entries
<=10
421 entries
<=20
421 entries
<=50
421 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)59.1%
High (>55c)34.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 93.8%

Other$89,566
Madrid$13,414
Paris$932
Milan$537
São Paulo$440
Miami$361
Wellington$0
Los Angeles$0
Dallas$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
384

Single bracket

<=1
347 brackets
<=2
384 brackets
<=3
384 brackets
<=4
384 brackets
<=5
384 brackets
<=8
384 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/23/2026, 10:21:14 AM2 trades$1981 min
1/23/2026, 11:26:34 AM2 trades$913 min
1/23/2026, 1:07:32 PM1 trades$20 min
1/23/2026, 1:13:30 PM1 trades$1370 min
1/23/2026, 1:40:22 PM1 trades$1330 min
1/23/2026, 5:37:58 PM1 trades$450 min
1/23/2026, 7:49:08 PM1 trades$310 min
1/23/2026, 9:00:52 PM1 trades$10 min
1/23/2026, 10:29:04 PM1 trades$1080 min
1/23/2026, 10:41:48 PM5 trades$2973 min
1/24/2026, 1:02:06 AM1 trades$1800 min
1/24/2026, 3:09:22 AM2 trades$1,3033 min
1/24/2026, 3:24:30 AM2 trades$2923 min
1/24/2026, 3:40:52 AM1 trades$3000 min
1/24/2026, 4:10:34 AM1 trades$8800 min
1/24/2026, 7:41:14 AM1 trades$9510 min
1/24/2026, 11:19:58 AM2 trades$1191 min
1/24/2026, 11:52:06 AM1 trades$810 min
1/24/2026, 12:04:28 PM1 trades$6000 min
1/24/2026, 1:16:40 PM2 trades$1,4742 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
01-29
02-08
04-15
04-21
04-27
05-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event