Polydata

@AiBird

#1,44046

0xa58d4f278d7953cd38eeb929f7e242bfc7c0b9b8

~583d· 1900 markets · 646681 tradesVol: $257,673,8202026-07-31 17:27:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (696/1672)5.8/20
1.12x (win $26,716 / loss $23,807)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.57610.8/15
Sortino 0.8828.8/10
$+0.0422 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 152 (1672 markets)10/10
235/493 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 84% of peak ($4,932 / $5,900)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+137,863
Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$68,881 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#735$69,210Vol: $157,373,321
SPORTS#3,006$18,625Vol: $54,383,983
📈 ECONOMICS#406$17,573Vol: $38,829,030
💰 FINANCE#165$28,543Vol: $2,174,108
🎭 CULTURE#814,522$-3,688Vol: $2,167,762
CRYPTO#29,259$1,066Vol: $1,393,158
💻 TECH#962$1,687Vol: $538,857
🌤️ WEATHER#3,132$381Vol: $330,955
📢 MENTIONS#414$4,122Vol: $297,213

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$137,838
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$257,673,820
Total Redeem
$407
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1900
total markets
Trades
7260B / 5592S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~583d

Periods

#2
Today
$725
Vol: $45,136
Week
$-568
Vol: $200,215
Month
$2,207
Vol: $1,397,153
All Time
$137,838
Vol: $257,673,820

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
3712W / 4267L events
Realized PnL
$137,863
Win Rate
47%
3712W / 4267L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,188 (0.03037762584717471% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$1,562
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1,462
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$1,164
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$911
Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?$765
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$627
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$599
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$557
Manchester United wins the Premier League?$546
Will Ciucu win by at least 12%?$531

Top Losers

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,670
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$-1,219
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$-890
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-554
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 9?$-539
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$-477
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B?$-474
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-467
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$-429
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-405

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.030
Sortino
0.036
HHI
93
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
17.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1097.9
Very active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 830s — normal for humanCV 5.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1098 trades/day — automation3.2 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)85.3%
Mid (20-55c)5.2%
High (>55c)9.4%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 11:11:01 PM25 trades$5,7990 min
4/26/2026, 1:29:22 AM2 trades$5,1270 min
4/6/2026, 1:09:57 AM15 trades$2,9770 min
5/4/2026, 5:45:16 AM17 trades$2,7010 min
5/21/2026, 12:41:19 AM1 trades$1,7400 min
1/27/2026, 2:45:03 AM1 trades$1,6870 min
6/10/2026, 9:57:24 AM7 trades$1,3030 min
10/10/2025, 6:23:36 AM4 trades$1,2782 min
2/3/2025, 11:44:33 AM3 trades$1,1807 min
7/21/2026, 5:59:01 AM12 trades$1,0120 min
11/22/2025, 10:43:27 PM2 trades$1,0100 min
12/7/2025, 1:48:45 PM1 trades$9800 min
9/4/2025, 9:20:24 AM1 trades$9800 min
9/4/2025, 8:01:16 AM1 trades$9750 min
6/17/2026, 12:42:34 PM11 trades$9690 min
11/18/2025, 2:39:11 AM1 trades$9600 min
2/7/2025, 1:05:22 PM2 trades$8830 min
2/18/2025, 7:26:53 AM3 trades$8740 min
2/4/2025, 7:39:59 AM7 trades$8566 min
6/30/2026, 12:20:28 PM11 trades$8300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-20
03-27
06-18
09-15
12-20
03-21
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 121 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L85.3 / M5.2 / H9.4