AlAhmeda

@AlAhmeda

#3,069,66138

0x9d736920e486176e7df7a76fa218f1ebd853216b

~346d· 3649 markets · 42385 tradesVol: $10,953,032 @AlAhmedaPM2026-08-01 23:13:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (2162/2979)20/20
0.66x (win $395,094 / loss $596,523)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2320/15
Sortino -2.3370/10
$-0.0335 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 68 (2979 markets)10/10
195/317 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 1060% of peak ($234,211 / $22,096)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 73%
DCA Master
Avg 11.2 entries/market
Whale
$6,011,496 invested
Consistent
195/317 profitable days
High Roller
$16,606/day
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,329$-77,342Vol: $7,845,097
📈 ECONOMICS#678,640$-1,206Vol: $1,021,466
💰 FINANCE#657,260$-19,289Vol: $990,823
CRYPTO#1,550,742$-257Vol: $564,873
🎭 CULTURE#3,092$2,010Vol: $120,195
🌤️ WEATHER#293,226$-338Vol: $66,522
SPORTS#1,750,793$-236Vol: $61,466
💻 TECH#256,641$-1,077Vol: $20,454
📢 MENTIONS#172,800$-476Vol: $6,276

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-99,999
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,953,032
Total Redeem
$67,461
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3649
total markets
Trades
30217B / 12168S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~346d

Periods

#2
Today
$-191
Vol: $40,059
Week
$-411
Vol: $244,916
Month
$-191
Vol: $40,059
All Time
$-99,999
Vol: $10,953,032

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized cash_basis_v3 — may differ from Polymarket UI on open books. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
2162W / 815L events
Realized PnL
$-100,490
Win Rate
73%
2162W / 815L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-769

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $56,180 (0.5590576874048042% of PnL)

Top Winners

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$19,247
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$18,776
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$18,157
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$11,740
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$10,718
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$7,649
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$7,545
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7,144
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$7,047
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$7,035

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-49,284
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-47,386
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-22,651
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-20,982
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-18,902
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-18,798
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-18,035
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?$-15,609
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-14,612
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$-13,558

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.117
Sortino
-0.082
HHI
48
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
117.1
Very active
Markets / Day
10.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.3m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.5

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 3.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock117 trades/day — automation10 markets/day — mass coverage78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.3%
High (>55c)80.9%

Sessions

#12
3/7/2026, 2:06:15 AM45 trades$80,11026 min
4/7/2026, 10:51:39 PM117 trades$66,14524 min
5/6/2026, 9:08:20 AM74 trades$50,35616 min
6/3/2026, 2:14:14 AM4 trades$50,1394 min
5/6/2026, 11:04:54 AM17 trades$42,14110 min
4/17/2026, 11:35:50 PM47 trades$41,1973 min
4/27/2026, 6:18:50 AM29 trades$40,0449 min
4/11/2026, 1:44:25 PM93 trades$38,03025 min
5/11/2026, 12:45:51 AM109 trades$37,60546 min
5/14/2026, 5:46:26 AM31 trades$33,9056 min
5/6/2026, 9:30:34 AM58 trades$32,20134 min
5/10/2026, 11:42:56 PM62 trades$30,30047 min
5/7/2026, 7:33:29 AM34 trades$28,08629 min
5/10/2026, 1:12:33 AM16 trades$25,9458 min
5/5/2026, 3:41:12 AM30 trades$25,3747 min
5/8/2026, 6:18:31 AM79 trades$25,04058 min
4/8/2026, 2:01:27 AM93 trades$25,02955 min
5/9/2026, 3:12:40 AM42 trades$24,99822 min
5/10/2026, 10:41:06 PM57 trades$23,95122 min
4/8/2026, 1:30:59 PM41 trades$23,34825 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-05
10-21
12-18
02-17
04-11
06-05
07-28
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 110 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.8 / M11.3 / H80.9