Polydata

@Alegrandebig

#3,055,95040

0x377326c9360302d15d5ce7f7ad5718e27837f0dd

~187d· 3469 markets · 25114 tradesVol: $3,718,225 @alegrandebig2026-07-31 15:16:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (3241/3419)20/20
0.55x (win $16,000 / loss $28,957)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3160/15
Sortino -1.3230/10
$-0.0086 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 12 (3419 markets)10/10
149/171 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 411% of peak ($19,055 / $4,631)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 95%
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,500,857 invested
Consistent
149/171 profitable days
High Roller
$6,525/day
Win Streak
98 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#298,384$-13,990Vol: $3,310,026
💰 FINANCE#2,127$2,279Vol: $241,647
CRYPTO#1,618,549$-1,123Vol: $72,174
SPORTS#66,798$349Vol: $42,831
🏛️ POLITICS#96,794$43Vol: $36,708
📈 ECONOMICS#14,053$83Vol: $10,694
🎭 CULTURE#78,575$7Vol: $2,730
💻 TECH#101,257$0Vol: $922
📢 MENTIONS#98,911$-2Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,354
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,718,225
Total Redeem
$7,757
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3469
total markets
Trades
13324B / 11790S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~187d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $1,832
Week
$603
Vol: $36,591
Month
$-2,733
Vol: $928,543
All Time
$-12,354
Vol: $3,718,225

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
3241W / 178L events
Realized PnL
$-12,443
Win Rate
95%
3241W / 178L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-268

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,649 (0.13249725750519364% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?$948
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?$408
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$293
Will Google dip to $255 in April?$223
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$215
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$203
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?$162
Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?$147
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 9?$147
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 16?$142

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?$-12,693
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$-5,397
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$-2,132
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 2?$-858
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?$-834
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 11?$-612
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$-503
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?$-456
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?$-440
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.069
Sortino
-0.026
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
109.2
Very active
Markets / Day
15.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.5m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
19 min
Avg Trades / Session
141.2

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock109 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)97.1%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 10:43:40 AM329 trades$34,92640 min
6/14/2026, 9:46:49 AM332 trades$26,47412 min
6/16/2026, 8:01:28 AM147 trades$21,67423 min
6/13/2026, 8:37:43 AM150 trades$21,3988 min
6/7/2026, 7:30:40 AM220 trades$18,46015 min
5/5/2026, 7:34:34 AM202 trades$17,40331 min
5/6/2026, 8:52:26 AM176 trades$16,77229 min
5/10/2026, 10:22:48 AM233 trades$16,72428 min
6/15/2026, 1:19:18 PM205 trades$15,9269 min
7/7/2026, 3:39:43 PM174 trades$15,81242 min
5/1/2026, 9:10:48 AM139 trades$14,90235 min
5/2/2026, 9:38:00 AM134 trades$14,80940 min
5/9/2026, 7:48:04 AM242 trades$14,38833 min
6/27/2026, 4:36:34 PM137 trades$14,26552 min
6/11/2026, 7:43:37 AM161 trades$13,64820 min
6/16/2026, 10:34:40 PM111 trades$13,3447 min
5/7/2026, 11:49:08 AM273 trades$12,72937 min
6/12/2026, 7:33:57 AM82 trades$12,51310 min
6/8/2026, 3:03:01 PM210 trades$12,3777 min
6/20/2026, 1:31:50 PM154 trades$11,93819 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-14
01-27
02-28
04-13
05-16
06-23
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
60% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M1.1 / H97.1