@AlienXBT

#3,110,47716

0x37447d42c55b62046ad1dbf20e8df95ebb90c141

~82d· 79 markets · 1331 tradesVol: $3,133,777 @AlienXBT2026-08-26 09:12:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (29/75)4.3/20
0.75x (win $145,188 / loss $192,621)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7390/15
Sortino -2.6410/10
$-0.1278 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 502 (75 markets)10/10
18/47 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($85,158 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Whale
$371,216 invested
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-69,079
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,133,777
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
1144B / 187S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
29W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-69,838
Win Rate
39%
29W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$5,006
Avg Loss
$-4,187

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $101,029 (1.4466073592496502% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$39,600
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$32,000
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$29,429
Avalanche vs. Kings$10,140
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?$8,480
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$7,065
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$4,049
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $3,500
Norway to win the second half?$3,271
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-21?$2,763

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-21,973
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$-21,600
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$-20,500
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-16,630
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?$-12,355
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-11,485
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-9,851
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$-9,587
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-8,747
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira$-8,463

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.090
Sortino
-0.145
HHI
568
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.113
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
40.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
49.2m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 3.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)43.6%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 9:39:00 PM12 trades$29,8801 min
11/5/2025, 2:59:05 PM10 trades$27,5384 min
6/17/2026, 5:57:10 PM3 trades$26,5001 min
7/10/2026, 7:52:23 PM35 trades$26,1034 min
5/10/2026, 2:01:04 PM45 trades$19,4772 min
5/11/2026, 7:49:21 PM45 trades$16,6344 min
10/28/2025, 11:39:03 PM20 trades$15,5886 min
10/30/2025, 7:58:39 AM6 trades$13,4496 min
6/21/2026, 8:10:50 PM57 trades$13,2825 min
10/29/2025, 9:26:13 PM3 trades$12,4104 min
6/2/2026, 6:17:11 PM2 trades$12,3780 min
10/29/2025, 1:31:19 PM1 trades$11,6080 min
6/24/2026, 10:55:26 PM1 trades$10,8000 min
6/24/2026, 11:10:40 PM86 trades$10,8005 min
6/20/2026, 8:55:52 PM2 trades$10,2500 min
6/20/2026, 9:08:16 PM3 trades$10,2500 min
6/23/2026, 8:55:37 PM1 trades$10,2000 min
6/23/2026, 9:11:34 PM6 trades$10,2000 min
5/12/2026, 6:54:39 PM19 trades$9,9857 min
5/23/2026, 8:02:20 PM25 trades$8,5202 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-26
11-05
04-15
05-13
06-17
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.8 / M19.6 / H43.6