@Almoned
#414,798810x4c3d8215882f177fa07f89d81670ddf4af4d959d
~52d· 230 markets · 470 tradesVol: $3,3382026-10-08 02:28:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
63% (132/209)16.6/20
1.57x (win $415 / loss $264)9.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.32315/15
Sortino 13.56910/10
$+0.1351 per $1 invested6.8/10
HHI 218 (209 markets)10/10
22/45 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($42 / $153)8.6/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+21
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#874,055$-1Vol: $1,664
⚽ SPORTS#212,270$25Vol: $844
🏛️ POLITICS#167,312$11Vol: $512
🎭 CULTURE#705,904$-12Vol: $195
💰 FINANCE#76,544$5Vol: $75
💻 TECH#233,331$-6Vol: $35
📈 ECONOMICS#563,315$-4Vol: $8
Overview
#1Net PnL
$18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,338
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
230
total markets
Trades
321B / 149S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $13
Week
$0
Vol: $25
Month
$1
Vol: $58
All Time
$18
Vol: $3,338
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
63%
132W / 77L events
Realized PnL
$21
Win Rate
63%
132W / 77L
Profit Factor
1.57x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $224 (10.83752417794971% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$105
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$101
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$18
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$11
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7
XRP Up or Down - January 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$5
Top Losers
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$-10
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-10
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11AM ET$-8
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$-8
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.172
Sortino
0.651
HHI
242
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.123
Kelly %
27.1%
Half-Kelly
13.6%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
24.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 246s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)39.9%
High (>55c)51.1%
Sessions
#125/31/2026, 4:33:51 PM5 trades$1260 min
12/7/2025, 8:52:05 AM3 trades$787 min
12/5/2025, 7:54:37 AM4 trades$646 min
2/28/2026, 8:17:17 AM22 trades$5926 min
12/4/2025, 6:42:31 PM2 trades$571 min
12/4/2025, 1:49:19 PM2 trades$552 min
2/28/2026, 7:24:57 AM14 trades$4917 min
6/1/2026, 3:35:13 PM4 trades$450 min
12/6/2025, 4:58:51 PM1 trades$390 min
1/1/2026, 5:35:05 PM2 trades$381 min
11/27/2025, 9:44:43 AM2 trades$372 min
12/6/2025, 4:53:19 PM2 trades$350 min
11/27/2025, 9:24:01 AM3 trades$332 min
3/30/2026, 11:58:34 AM3 trades$335 min
12/3/2025, 7:46:09 PM3 trades$323 min
11/28/2025, 9:24:57 AM2 trades$310 min
11/26/2025, 6:13:25 PM4 trades$298 min
12/10/2025, 2:49:42 PM1 trades$270 min
11/27/2025, 6:52:55 PM2 trades$250 min
1/2/2026, 11:10:31 AM2 trades$234 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-25
12-02
12-10
02-28
03-16
04-04
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 47 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9 / M39.9 / H51.1