AlmostAndy

@AlmostAndy

#3,188,38621

0x0ced4f3afa5d9bfbd7ab82fd124896a7160c12b2

~298d· 323 markets · 11482 tradesVol: $9,273,8492026-10-08 01:19:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (139/310)7.4/20
0.66x (win $363,249 / loss $552,880)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3450/15
Sortino -2.8080/10
$-0.1052 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 155 (310 markets)10/10
67/146 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 4427% of peak ($194,013 / $4,382)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
Whale
$1,802,997 invested
High Roller
$2,675/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,940,155$-71,281Vol: $4,057,189
🏛️ POLITICS#2,448$17,584Vol: $2,047,989
📈 ECONOMICS#700,887$-76,134Vol: $1,608,734
🌤️ WEATHER#305,650$-46,438Vol: $1,102,211
🎭 CULTURE#827,076$-8,982Vol: $267,627
💰 FINANCE#554$9,607Vol: $126,728
💻 TECH#272,746$-847Vol: $27,933
₿ CRYPTO#13,449$3,293Vol: $27,704
📢 MENTIONS#4,538$164Vol: $2,568

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-170,572
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,273,849
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
323
total markets
Trades
8758B / 2724S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~298d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1,641
Vol: $58,686
All Time
$-170,572
Vol: $9,273,849

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
139W / 171L events
Realized PnL
$-170,532
Win Rate
45%
139W / 171L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$2,613
Avg Loss
$-3,252

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $87,618 (0.5137942008243958% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$45,225
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?$27,585
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournament$14,808
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$13,566
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?$12,754
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?$10,007
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$9,774
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$9,354
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?$8,905
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?$8,878

Top Losers

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-61,872
Will Barcelona win La Liga?$-37,052
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$-31,912
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$-22,315
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-18,871
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$-17,537
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$-17,093
Will PSG win on 2025-08-13? $-14,000
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?$-13,853
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$-13,543

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.122
Sortino
-0.123
HHI
133
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.107
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
16.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.5m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 4.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
34.83
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.2%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)30.5%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2025, 6:13:28 PM12 trades$87,46013 min
8/22/2025, 2:27:44 PM24 trades$59,76014 min
4/1/2025, 11:16:11 AM2 trades$54,3281 min
6/8/2025, 4:07:15 PM33 trades$33,41318 min
6/26/2025, 6:07:01 AM3 trades$32,4122 min
8/7/2025, 12:29:37 PM57 trades$30,8645 min
5/13/2025, 1:08:58 AM4 trades$29,2082 min
7/20/2025, 11:14:29 PM2 trades$27,8941 min
6/6/2025, 11:46:24 AM7 trades$27,5981 min
6/8/2025, 2:40:15 PM1 trades$25,8630 min
4/23/2025, 2:53:54 AM17 trades$25,44228 min
9/19/2026, 10:58:30 PM81 trades$24,9761 min
4/12/2025, 12:15:26 PM19 trades$23,78723 min
6/23/2025, 10:13:47 PM17 trades$21,13113 min
4/1/2025, 4:19:52 PM1 trades$20,7540 min
5/2/2025, 12:55:36 AM8 trades$20,57312 min
6/24/2025, 9:03:11 AM10 trades$20,4494 min
9/11/2025, 9:19:01 AM7 trades$20,3619 min
7/23/2025, 7:33:39 PM2 trades$20,0482 min
4/29/2025, 10:57:44 AM3 trades$19,0905 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
03-27
05-04
06-26
08-31
12-27
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 397 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.2 / M23.3 / H30.5