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Valen9

@Valen9

#48790

0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d

148d· 612 markets · 12945 tradesVol: $25,697,1932026-06-19T16:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 88%20/20
Profit Factor 4.19x15/15
Sharpe 0.3557/15
Sortino 0.8398/10
EV $+0.82210/10
HHI 14710/10
Profit Days 85%10/10
DD/Peak 11%10/10

Summary

Valen9 is an active Polymarket trader ranked #487 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $362,288.35 from nearly 13,000 trades across 265 markets over 426 days. With a total trading volume exceeding $25 million and a portfolio value of $573,773.91, Valen9 maintains a strong presence and consistent engagement on the platform. The trader holds an elite Smart Score of 90/100, reflecting high skill and effectiveness.

Valen9’s trading style combines manual and bot-assisted strategies, indicated by a semi-bot score of 55/100. The trader has a moderate win rate of 45.7% and a profit factor below 1 (0.81), suggesting a risk-taking approach with occasional losses offset by larger wins. Valen9 rarely sells early, with only 25% sell percentage, and shows a preference for dollar-cost averaging (DCA) tactics. The equity trend is upward and stable, supported by a low Sharpe ratio of 0.35 and zero max drawdown duration, indicating controlled downside risk and steady growth.

The main strengths of Valen9 lie in high trading volume, consistent upward equity, and elite skill recognition on Polymarket. However, the profit factor under 1 and moderate win rate imply potential vulnerability to market volatility and losses. The semi-bot strategy introduces systematic elements but may also limit adaptability in rapidly changing conditions. Overall, Valen9’s data suggests a disciplined and experienced trader balancing risk and reward effectively.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+362,288
DCA Master
avg 36.6 entries/market
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
Whale
$4,626,822
Consistent
51/60 days
High Roller
$10,861/day
Cool Head
DD 11%

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#103$474,193Vol: $20,496,659
📈 ECONOMICS#663,108$-169,498Vol: $3,947,294
💰 FINANCE#632,332$-9,368Vol: $328,314
🎭 CULTURE#1,744$4,153Vol: $232,348
SPORTS#3,961$11,439Vol: $226,458
CRYPTO#1,326$30,074Vol: $157,802
📢 MENTIONS#268$6,730Vol: $79,033
💻 TECH#1,078$1,282Vol: $30,985

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$362,288
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,697,193
Total Redeem
$705,639
Portfolio
$573,774
Predictions
612
total markets
Trades
9662B / 3283S
Daily Volume
$10,861
Account Age
148d
since Jan 28, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-28,220
Vol: $300,627
Week
$95,067
Vol: $2,229,889
Month
$452,690
Vol: $6,313,851
All Time
$362,288
Vol: $25,697,193

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
134W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$626,353
Win Rate
46%
95W / 113L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$8,945
Avg Loss
$-9,285

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$243,196
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$148,097
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$77,341
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$70,885
Netanyahu out by March 31?$55,587
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$26,476
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$25,810
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$21,948
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$16,088
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$13,997

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-69,869
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-66,313
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$-64,019
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$-56,136
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$-35,518
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?$-35,480
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$-28,584
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-26,251
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-25,053
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-24,085

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.355
Sortino
0.839
HHI
147
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.823
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
19.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
92.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.6m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 102s — typical for humanSize CV 3.75 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness92 trades/day — mass trading301 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
36.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
20 entries
<=2
35 entries
<=5
61 entries
<=10
90 entries
<=20
131 entries
<=50
201 entries
>50
63 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.3%
High (>55c)63.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.8%

Los Angeles$2,287
Warsh$-3,800
Other$-197,857

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
135

Moderate coverage

<=1
90 brackets
<=2
112 brackets
<=3
119 brackets
<=4
122 brackets
<=5
127 brackets
<=8
131 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 12:51:06 AM13 trades$4,0874 min
1/30/2026, 1:09:36 AM4 trades$9,7602 min
1/30/2026, 1:24:34 AM2 trades$7,3882 min
2/1/2026, 12:07:18 AM1 trades$4,8600 min
2/1/2026, 3:09:52 AM1 trades$2450 min
2/1/2026, 3:19:36 AM2 trades$1,2313 min
2/1/2026, 3:29:32 AM1 trades$5560 min
2/1/2026, 3:36:26 AM1 trades$3640 min
2/1/2026, 3:43:32 AM5 trades$7580 min
2/1/2026, 4:50:38 AM1 trades$20 min
2/1/2026, 4:44:58 PM1 trades$30 min
2/1/2026, 7:24:54 PM1 trades$3150 min
2/1/2026, 7:44:48 PM1 trades$90 min
2/1/2026, 11:45:30 PM1 trades$8670 min
2/1/2026, 11:54:36 PM1 trades$110 min
2/2/2026, 12:40:36 AM2 trades$282 min
2/2/2026, 12:50:16 AM1 trades$230 min
2/2/2026, 12:56:56 AM4 trades$780 min
2/2/2026, 1:03:46 AM5 trades$941 min
2/2/2026, 1:33:08 AM3 trades$2620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-22
04-01
04-25
05-22
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 36.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event