ArcLing

@ArcLing

#20,43585

0x50a832e2f544cd4a6842fac5fcc5a4425684143f

~343d· 1720 markets · 12011 tradesVol: $12,868,441 @VladislavArc2026-08-01 13:35:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (1389/1717)20/20
1.82x (win $14,035 / loss $7,692)12.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.64815/15
Sortino 4.27710/10
$+0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 73 (1717 markets)10/10
253/315 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($2,143 / $6,534)7.4/10

Badges

11
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+6,565
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
5% sells
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Whale
$6,730,664 invested
Consistent
253/315 profitable days
High Roller
$8,640/day
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#807,903$-747Vol: $6,485,242
CRYPTO#10,704$4,480Vol: $3,763,538
SPORTS#14,670$2,988Vol: $2,494,895
🏛️ POLITICS#78,510$67Vol: $92,238
📢 MENTIONS#162,592$-93Vol: $12,327
💰 FINANCE#639,700$-183Vol: $4,089
💻 TECH#211,812$-4Vol: $310
📈 ECONOMICS#60,558$5Vol: $120
🌤️ WEATHER#45,763$2Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,565
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,868,441
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1720
total markets
Trades
11435B / 576S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~343d

Periods

#2
Today
$15
Vol: $0
Week
$49
Vol: $69,165
Month
$15
Vol: $0
All Time
$6,565
Vol: $12,868,441

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
1389W / 328L events
Realized PnL
$6,565
Win Rate
81%
1389W / 328L
Profit Factor
1.82x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,509 (0.38219294731277964% of PnL)

Top Winners

Wild vs. Devils$999
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?$926
Will Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?$584
Golden Knights vs. Sabres$551
Will $Mog be listed first on Coinbase?$340
Will Solana reach $270 October 27-November 2?$306
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?$235
Flames vs. Oilers$224
Solana above $180 on May 23?$222
Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?$215

Top Losers

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 1–August 8?$-778
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 1–August 8?$-736
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?$-309
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K September 8–14?$-278
Will Solana reach $240 in September?$-278
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$-256
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?$-224
Will Bitcoin reach $120K before July 14?$-222
Ripple above $2.70 on February 21?$-200
Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23?$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.138
Sortino
0.112
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 6.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.97
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)39.8%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2025, 1:32:57 AM11 trades$223,24214 min
3/30/2025, 12:35:58 AM1 trades$117,6590 min
3/7/2025, 2:37:39 AM2 trades$104,9000 min
1/15/2025, 12:10:15 PM3 trades$92,9070 min
3/6/2025, 1:02:15 AM19 trades$83,81121 min
10/10/2025, 7:08:22 PM27 trades$79,89643 min
3/23/2025, 2:15:03 AM3 trades$79,7430 min
1/14/2026, 4:37:16 PM28 trades$77,3028 min
3/6/2025, 11:57:03 PM7 trades$71,18310 min
4/1/2025, 5:50:51 AM2 trades$67,8095 min
7/15/2025, 7:16:56 PM13 trades$67,73311 min
7/3/2025, 7:08:05 AM15 trades$67,71011 min
5/21/2025, 12:17:23 PM23 trades$66,59914 min
6/3/2025, 4:00:20 PM1 trades$66,5990 min
5/9/2025, 5:34:09 PM2 trades$65,4880 min
1/8/2025, 2:56:31 AM5 trades$65,4006 min
7/9/2025, 7:25:32 PM1 trades$65,1370 min
3/7/2025, 12:58:51 PM12 trades$63,43715 min
3/6/2025, 3:28:49 AM4 trades$63,4032 min
8/22/2025, 5:12:40 PM11 trades$59,7181 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
01-19
05-14
07-10
09-18
11-23
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.1 / M0.1 / H39.8