@ArielTheJew
#2,548,013120x96addeffff755d926e6a719f6877d40283f52431
~27d· 248 markets · 1215 tradesVol: $30,6342026-09-10 21:14:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (73/240)0.2/20
0.83x (win $1,037 / loss $1,257)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9040/15
Sortino -6.6310/10
$-0.1036 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 115 (240 markets)10/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($220 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55
Categories
3₿ CRYPTO#1,528,620$-121Vol: $16,468
⚽ SPORTS#194,625$34Vol: $14,006
🏛️ POLITICS#687,011$-0Vol: $160
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-86
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,634
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
248
total markets
Trades
489B / 726S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
Periods
#2Today
$20
Vol: $1,899
Week
$113
Vol: $8,891
Month
$113
Vol: $8,891
All Time
$-86
Vol: $30,634
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
73W / 167L events
Realized PnL
$-75
Win Rate
30%
73W / 167L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-8
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $282 (3.784928935371413% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$126
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$79
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$27
Top Losers
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$-20
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.302
Sortino
-0.360
HHI
179
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
20.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.2m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.2
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.19
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)28.4%
Mid (20-55c)42.1%
High (>55c)29.4%
Sessions
#129/8/2026, 11:20:06 PM15 trades$48411 min
6/15/2026, 2:56:03 PM66 trades$39938 min
6/15/2026, 4:44:55 PM42 trades$36836 min
6/15/2026, 7:11:54 PM39 trades$27626 min
6/15/2026, 12:34:33 PM31 trades$26621 min
6/15/2026, 12:16:19 PM31 trades$2627 min
5/2/2026, 10:35:38 PM80 trades$22262 min
5/1/2026, 12:37:08 PM15 trades$2157 min
6/19/2026, 2:23:05 PM17 trades$2025 min
6/15/2026, 4:22:54 PM26 trades$18616 min
6/15/2026, 9:22:27 PM20 trades$18317 min
9/8/2026, 11:36:42 PM7 trades$1704 min
6/15/2026, 6:47:43 PM20 trades$16418 min
6/14/2026, 10:14:51 PM34 trades$16122 min
7/17/2026, 1:07:09 PM2 trades$1560 min
5/1/2026, 11:57:32 AM35 trades$15528 min
6/15/2026, 7:56:30 PM11 trades$14711 min
6/14/2026, 10:42:57 PM51 trades$14239 min
6/16/2026, 9:17:40 AM9 trades$1354 min
5/25/2026, 11:09:05 PM7 trades$1231 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-13
05-01
06-15
07-06
07-14
07-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.19/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.4 / M42.1 / H29.4